| 97.719 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 92.082 | Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before September 2026? | Binary |
| 79.330 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 76.844 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 76.316 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 75.949 | Will a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina officially be in place before September 2, 2026? | Binary |
| 74.601 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 74.439 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 74.238 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 72.430 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 72.094 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 69.296 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 68.169 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 67.227 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 64.101 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 62.521 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.567 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 61.255 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 60.640 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 59.332 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 58.492 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 57.643 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.089 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 55.789 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 54.504 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 53.046 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 51.570 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 51.514 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 51.063 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 50.405 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 49.562 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 48.571 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 48.543 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 48.236 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 47.181 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.672 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 46.348 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.159 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 45.023 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 44.911 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 43.770 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 42.015 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 41.201 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 40.625 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 40.093 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| 40.077 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 39.343 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 38.963 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 37.568 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 36.838 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 35.445 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 35.216 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 34.850 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 34.171 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 33.970 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.506 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.139 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| 32.076 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| 31.245 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 30.904 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 30.051 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.720 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.555 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 28.241 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 28.069 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 27.569 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 27.398 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.732 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 26.355 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.089 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 25.787 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 25.692 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 24.645 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| 24.138 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 23.148 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.060 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 22.761 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 22.466 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 22.024 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 20.526 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 20.108 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.716 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 18.685 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 18.661 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.459 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.323 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 14.783 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.464 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 14.404 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 14.373 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.259 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 12.124 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 11.856 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.660 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 11.144 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.097 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.189 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.007 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 9.838 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 9.622 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.419 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| 8.019 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.802 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.159 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 6.704 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| 6.380 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 5.813 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.448 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| 2.508 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| 2.037 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.745 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 1.592 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 1.372 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 1.267 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| 1.141 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 0.617 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| -0.654 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| -0.876 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -1.105 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -2.935 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| -5.726 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.097 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| -9.813 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| -11.137 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| -11.491 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -11.784 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| -13.450 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -16.976 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| -18.192 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -18.343 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -21.614 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -24.358 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| -25.670 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -26.371 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| -31.498 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -37.647 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -46.528 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -82.426 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -91.612 | Before May 1, 2026, will the United States offer to purchase Greenland from Denmark? | Binary |
| -104.829 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -108.384 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -112.533 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -130.623 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -132.193 | Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026? | Binary |
| -139.165 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -141.164 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |