| 99.629 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 94.531 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 93.754 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 87.048 | Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before September 2026? | Binary |
| 86.202 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 85.140 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 81.953 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 81.479 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 77.860 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 77.724 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 76.872 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 76.581 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 75.770 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 74.874 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 74.087 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 71.065 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 70.971 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 67.980 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 67.350 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 66.756 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 66.688 | Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution condemning the US operation in Venezuela before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 64.883 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 64.360 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 62.420 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 61.628 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 61.092 | Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026? | Binary |
| 60.849 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.714 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 57.032 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 56.942 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 50.307 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 49.842 | Will a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina officially be in place before September 2, 2026? | Binary |
| 49.447 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 48.524 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 48.345 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.622 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 46.602 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 46.029 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| 45.690 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 42.397 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 41.344 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.339 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 40.164 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 39.366 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 36.844 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 35.029 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.235 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 33.726 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 31.915 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 31.895 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 31.893 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 31.562 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 30.415 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 30.137 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 29.457 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.706 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 28.562 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 27.933 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 26.541 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.477 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 24.365 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 23.688 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 23.450 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 22.754 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 22.712 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.645 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.428 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.776 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 21.043 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| 20.018 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 17.082 | How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.555 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.041 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 14.245 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 13.406 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| 13.154 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 12.701 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 12.478 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| 12.024 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.980 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 11.112 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.177 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 9.437 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 9.221 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| 7.140 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 5.341 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.281 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| 5.122 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 4.715 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 4.190 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| 3.510 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.384 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 2.768 | Will the United States attempt to occupy or blockade Kharg Island during 2026? | Binary |
| 2.018 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 1.283 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 0.637 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -1.392 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -1.533 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| -2.642 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.692 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| -5.891 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -6.402 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -6.518 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -7.459 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -10.713 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| -11.823 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -13.159 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| -15.292 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -16.469 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| -17.711 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| -19.707 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -19.715 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -21.894 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| -22.271 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| -23.842 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -24.531 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -26.117 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -29.425 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -32.051 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -33.506 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -35.265 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -37.307 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| -37.628 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -38.515 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -40.260 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| -42.943 | Before May 1, 2026, will the United States offer to purchase Greenland from Denmark? | Binary |
| -46.107 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -46.825 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| -48.273 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| -51.338 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| -52.506 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| -52.657 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| -60.513 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| -60.809 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -61.398 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -81.554 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -88.145 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -90.732 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| -92.834 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -94.632 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -98.782 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -102.773 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -106.614 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -125.438 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -129.054 | [Short fuse] What will be the Rotten Tomatoes Rating for "Melania" on February 13th, 2026? | Continuous |
| -129.288 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -158.347 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -895.471 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |