| 80.331 | 95.7% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 68.672 | 99.6% | In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.786 | 91.3% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.958 | 91.9% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 54.209 | 99.9% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 53.852 | 99.9% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 53.707 | 89.8% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 53.321 | 86.9% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 53.169 | 95.7% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 53.003 | 91.6% | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| 52.861 | 99.7% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.411 | 53.0% | Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF? | Binary |
| 44.061 | 52.1% | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 41.910 | 95.5% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 40.715 | 97.2% | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| 39.482 | 98.2% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 39.266 | 93.0% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 38.971 | 99.2% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 38.521 | 91.7% | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 38.410 | 97.6% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women) | Continuous |
| 38.233 | 96.2% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 38.158 | 99.5% | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 37.408 | 86.8% | What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.033 | 87.0% | How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.776 | 98.3% | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 34.861 | 65.8% | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 34.422 | 92.9% | Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.164 | 56.2% | What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire? | Continuous |
| 30.670 | 97.8% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 27.197 | 42.6% | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.322 | 88.0% | How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week? | Continuous |
| 26.281 | 83.2% | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 25.233 | 99.7% | Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026? | Binary |
| 24.878 | 93.0% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 24.556 | 99.7% | Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.817 | 47.5% | Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.749 | 66.5% | Will the US unemployment rate for December 2025 be higher than November 2025? | Binary |
| 21.779 | 93.6% | How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 20.746 | 98.0% | Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.743 | 78.3% | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 20.416 | 76.5% | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 20.121 | 94.0% | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| 19.923 | 99.3% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.747 | 97.6% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men) | Continuous |
| 19.563 | 54.4% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.911 | 95.8% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.771 | 70.4% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 18.686 | 35.2% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| 18.680 | 98.7% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.478 | 95.5% | How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.470 | 37.1% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 18.380 | 65.3% | Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026? | Binary |
| 17.626 | 39.3% | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.523 | 77.6% | What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.425 | 91.6% | Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 17.070 | 86.8% | What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.028 | 80.8% | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.964 | 99.7% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.822 | 90.2% | Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025? | Binary |
| 16.749 | 97.9% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.397 | 66.6% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.361 | 94.3% | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.321 | 66.4% | How many new energy vehicle sales will BYD report for December 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.249 | 85.8% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.041 | 88.8% | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 15.476 | 95.6% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 14.846 | 56.8% | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.690 | 87.2% | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.516 | 87.7% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.482 | 58.1% | When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? | Continuous |
| 14.388 | 98.3% | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 13.544 | 95.7% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 13.229 | 98.1% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 13.209 | 99.0% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.171 | 95.5% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November) | Continuous |
| 13.082 | 76.9% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| 12.961 | 88.3% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 12.821 | 93.5% | What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 12.495 | 84.2% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 12.478 | 80.4% | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| 12.291 | 80.6% | Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.026 | 57.6% | Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.496 | 73.3% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.336 | 98.3% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.128 | 98.6% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 10.721 | 92.1% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 10.491 | 95.3% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 9.915 | 28.9% | How many days of snow will New York City see between December 11, 2025 and January 10, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.913 | 33.5% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.856 | 95.9% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.851 | 85.1% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.570 | 98.7% | Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.319 | 81.3% | How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.220 | 42.4% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.951 | 84.4% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 8.833 | 40.7% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.536 | 99.8% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.521 | 90.7% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 8.520 | 93.0% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.437 | 88.2% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| 8.374 | 58.2% | How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026? | Continuous |
| 8.355 | 42.3% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 8.319 | 99.7% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.152 | 42.4% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.095 | 42.3% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.869 | 73.9% | Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.763 | 57.3% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.688 | 54.9% | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.525 | 57.8% | When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine? | Continuous |
| 7.482 | 75.7% | Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025? | Binary |
| 7.378 | 94.4% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 7.144 | 99.5% | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| 6.566 | 42.5% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.508 | 37.1% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 6.492 | 42.5% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.275 | 36.9% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| 6.149 | 42.4% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.989 | 80.0% | What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season? | Continuous |
| 5.918 | 88.0% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 5.609 | 98.5% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 5.465 | 55.8% | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| 4.962 | 14.3% | What will be the total domestic box office in the US & Canada during 2025? | Continuous |
| 4.771 | 80.0% | Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 4.389 | 88.0% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.306 | 41.3% | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| 4.301 | 97.9% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December) | Continuous |
| 4.002 | 99.2% | Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.775 | 22.2% | What will be the global year-over-year change in seated diners reported by OpenTable for the week ending January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.652 | 37.1% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| 3.533 | 65.4% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.486 | 32.8% | When will the 2025 Australian Federal election be held? | Continuous |
| 3.179 | 10.5% | Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.093 | 8.8% | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.752 | 12.6% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 2.320 | 27.5% | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.014 | 99.7% | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 2.012 | 84.4% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 1.619 | 98.5% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 1.529 | 98.5% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 1.210 | 45.1% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.875 | 92.1% | How many confirmed mpox cases for the following years (2025+)? (2025) | Continuous |
| 0.845 | 1.2% | Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.715 | 7.1% | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 0.555 | 7.5% | Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.250 | 91.2% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| 0.136 | 0.4% | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
| 0.130 | 1.7% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| -0.366 | 98.8% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| -0.995 | 92.8% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| -1.907 | 38.8% | Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land? | Binary |
| -2.501 | 17.4% | How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026? | Continuous |
| -2.688 | 98.0% | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| -2.869 | 74.8% | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| -3.493 | 93.5% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| -4.135 | 87.7% | Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026? | Binary |
| -6.314 | 88.2% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| -6.315 | 94.3% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| -7.782 | 80.7% | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| -22.454 | 95.8% | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
| -27.399 | 99.5% | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -42.766 | 95.8% | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |