94.572 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
88.477 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
87.794 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
86.715 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
85.920 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
85.865 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
83.824 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
80.728 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
80.605 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
80.524 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
79.521 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
79.276 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
78.767 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
78.742 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
77.200 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
75.115 | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
74.992 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
74.663 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
71.557 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
71.506 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
71.251 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
71.119 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
69.499 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
68.804 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
68.011 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
66.715 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
65.219 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
62.154 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
61.163 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
60.392 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
60.024 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
59.703 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
58.278 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
52.908 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
51.805 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
50.125 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
48.165 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
47.205 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
44.836 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
43.608 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
43.286 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
42.636 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
42.598 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
42.089 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
41.545 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
40.263 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
39.565 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
38.752 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
38.131 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
36.338 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
31.138 | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
30.230 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
28.582 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
27.452 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
24.723 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
24.665 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
22.006 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
21.976 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
19.807 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
19.509 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
18.196 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
18.136 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
17.752 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
17.231 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
16.993 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
16.565 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
16.119 | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
15.210 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
14.020 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
13.566 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
13.136 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
12.829 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
12.765 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
12.041 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
11.920 | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
10.921 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
10.685 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
10.211 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
10.197 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
10.178 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
7.157 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
5.245 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
3.698 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
3.056 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
2.414 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
2.109 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
0.824 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
0.665 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
- | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
-0.539 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-5.013 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
-6.867 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
-7.206 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
-9.804 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-11.055 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-15.665 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-18.306 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-18.877 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-20.925 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-21.421 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
-22.350 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-23.453 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
-31.489 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-33.589 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-36.082 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-41.685 | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
-47.968 | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
-53.453 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-56.068 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-69.770 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
-80.031 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-83.197 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
-84.636 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
-91.763 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
-105.894 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-106.177 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-136.361 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-139.527 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-158.876 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
-160.815 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-199.649 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-200.299 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-212.510 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
-213.460 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |