| 113.303 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United States of America) | Continuous |
| 106.805 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Toy Story 5) | Continuous |
| 105.353 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (China) | Continuous |
| 104.535 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Republic of Korea) | Continuous |
| 98.548 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 98.033 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Japan) | Continuous |
| 92.678 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 91.553 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Minions & Monsters) | Continuous |
| 89.358 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 84.302 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 83.910 | Will the United States use a nuclear weapon before May 2026? | Binary |
| 83.807 | Before May 1, 2026, will the United States offer to purchase Greenland from Denmark? | Binary |
| 81.684 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Islamic Republic of Iran) | Continuous |
| 81.645 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Taiwan) | Continuous |
| 80.204 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 79.288 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 79.272 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 75.383 | Which party's candidate will win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 75.138 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Serbia) | Continuous |
| 74.498 | Will Iran's Internet not be "heavily filtered/whitelisted" for most users before May 2026? | Binary |
| 74.213 | Will Romuald Wadagni win the Benin presidential election in April 2026? | Binary |
| 73.751 | Will Iran participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| 72.414 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Germany) | Continuous |
| 71.812 | Will the Liberal Party officially nominate Flávio Bolsonaro as its candidate for president of Brazil before August 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 71.544 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Binary |
| 71.206 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 70.526 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 70.083 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Singapore) | Continuous |
| 69.412 | Will attacks on Israel cause 5+ casualties or a nationwide shelter order before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 69.341 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 67.814 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 67.135 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 66.432 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 66.073 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 65.808 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 64.596 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 63.924 | How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on June 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 63.879 | Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat? | Binary |
| 63.130 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Poland) | Continuous |
| 63.130 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kosovo) | Continuous |
| 63.129 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ivory Coast) | Continuous |
| 63.105 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Honduras) | Continuous |
| 63.105 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ecuador) | Continuous |
| 63.104 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Tunisia) | Continuous |
| 63.079 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Uganda) | Continuous |
| 62.631 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 62.023 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 61.953 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 61.072 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kazakhstan) | Continuous |
| 61.072 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Australia) | Continuous |
| 61.071 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cameroon) | Continuous |
| 61.054 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Dominican Republic) | Continuous |
| 61.054 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ukraine) | Continuous |
| 61.051 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Mongolia) | Continuous |
| 61.025 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Croatia) | Continuous |
| 60.195 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 60.148 | [Short fuse] Will a Kenyan win the 2026 Boston marathon? | Binary |
| 59.706 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Israel) | Continuous |
| 59.303 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (El Salvador) | Continuous |
| 58.588 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 58.128 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 57.648 | Will a ceasefire in the 2026 conflict between Israel and the United States and Iran be announced before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.574 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Botswana) | Continuous |
| 57.522 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.491 | Will Bitcoin trade above $120,000 before August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 56.798 | Will Senator John Cornyn avoid elimination in the first round of the Texas Republican primary? | Binary |
| 56.560 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 56.503 | Will Jonathan Ross be indicted or charged in the death of Renee Good before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 55.720 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Puerto Rico) | Continuous |
| 55.702 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cambodia) | Continuous |
| 55.676 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bhutan) | Continuous |
| 55.528 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Hungary) | Continuous |
| 55.170 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (France) | Continuous |
| 55.169 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 54.432 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kenya) | Continuous |
| 54.329 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 53.947 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 53.355 | How many MPs will Reform UK have on May 7, 2026? | Continuous |
| 52.837 | Will Waymo have a service area of 1,200 square miles before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 52.754 | Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026? | Binary |
| 52.726 | Will gas prices in the US reach a new all-time high before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 52.329 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 51.985 | Will the UAE engage with 2 or more additional Iranian projectiles (drones or missiles) before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 51.138 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Uruguay) | Continuous |
| 51.138 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Mexico) | Continuous |
| 51.137 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cyprus) | Continuous |
| 51.117 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Georgia) | Continuous |
| 50.637 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 50.180 | Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution condemning the US operation in Venezuela before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 50.144 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Vietnam) | Continuous |
| 49.706 | Who will win the Tour de France 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 49.545 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 49.456 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Hong Kong) | Continuous |
| 49.455 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United Arab Emirates) | Continuous |
| 49.398 | Will Iran and U.S play against each other in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| 49.378 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 48.221 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 48.165 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 47.919 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 47.466 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 46.712 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 46.411 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 46.402 | Who will be the 2026 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senator from Maine? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.017 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period March 20-26, 2026? | Continuous |
| 45.215 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 45.046 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 45.006 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| 44.930 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Brett M. Kavanaugh) | Binary |
| 44.716 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 44.694 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Philippines) | Continuous |
| 44.068 | Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of August 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.913 | Which country will be ranked the least peaceful in the Global Peace Index 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.383 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 42.529 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.487 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 42.331 | How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season? | Continuous |
| 42.116 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Spain) | Continuous |
| 42.115 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Paraguay) | Continuous |
| 42.015 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.023 | Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close above 30 on more than 5 trading days between April 20, 2026 and May 31, 2026? | Binary |
| 40.682 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.661 | Will any host nation (USA, Mexico or Canada) reach the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup? | Binary |
| 40.520 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Samuel A. Alito, Jr.) | Binary |
| 40.520 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Clarence Thomas) | Binary |
| 40.062 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 39.853 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 38.771 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 38.646 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 38.080 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 37.789 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 37.395 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 36.666 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 36.480 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Peru) | Continuous |
| 36.326 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Elena Kagan) | Binary |
| 35.522 | What will Alphabet's Q4 2025 constant-currency revenues be in these global regions? (Other Americas) | Continuous |
| 35.443 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 35.215 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 34.274 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Czech Republic) | Continuous |
| 34.274 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Portugal) | Continuous |
| 34.273 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Slovenia) | Continuous |
| 34.273 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Denmark) | Continuous |
| 34.260 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Switzerland) | Continuous |
| 34.260 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Armenia) | Continuous |
| 34.260 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Belgium) | Continuous |
| 34.246 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Morocco) | Continuous |
| 34.246 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Colombia) | Continuous |
| 33.508 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 33.250 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 33.157 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ghana) | Continuous |
| 33.147 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Latvia) | Continuous |
| 33.147 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Republic of Moldova) | Continuous |
| 33.146 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Austria) | Continuous |
| 33.146 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Costa Rica) | Continuous |
| 33.145 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Sri Lanka) | Continuous |
| 33.132 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Iraq) | Continuous |
| 33.132 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (India) | Continuous |
| 33.131 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bulgaria) | Continuous |
| 33.131 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cuba) | Continuous |
| 33.131 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Greece) | Continuous |
| 33.131 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Nepal) | Continuous |
| 33.131 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Tajikistan) | Continuous |
| 33.069 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 33.013 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 32.459 | Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 32.003 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 31.869 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 31.657 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 31.601 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| 31.596 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Sonia Sotomayor) | Binary |
| 31.595 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 31.457 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 31.431 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Amy Coney Barrett) | Binary |
| 31.217 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 31.054 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 30.965 | What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision? | Continuous |
| 30.906 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Rwanda) | Continuous |
| 30.802 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 30.710 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 30.189 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 30.039 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 29.985 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 29.706 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| 29.410 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.956 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Namibia) | Continuous |
| 28.899 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 28.225 | Which album will win the Best Traditional Country Album Award at the 2026 Grammys? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.171 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 28.010 | Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "bitcoin" in his State of the Union address on February 24, 2026? | Binary |
| 28.002 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Palestine) | Continuous |
| 27.968 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 27.727 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 27.288 | Will Swiss voters approve the "No to a Switzerland with 10 million" population cap referendum? | Binary |
| 27.117 | What will be the highest stock price of SpaceX in July 2026? | Continuous |
| 27.107 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 27.038 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 27.027 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 26.698 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 26.143 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (John G. Roberts, Jr.) | Binary |
| 25.965 | How concerned will the EU be in March 2026? | Continuous |
| 25.594 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 25.365 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 25.299 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.239 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.221 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 25.096 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 24.379 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 24.325 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 24.231 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 23.791 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 23.679 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 23.595 | How many U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.312 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 23.307 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on April 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 23.063 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 22.938 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February 2026, according to the TSA? (Feb 16, 2026-Feb 22, 2026) | Continuous |
| 22.675 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 22.234 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.880 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 21.839 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 21.775 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 21.601 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Syria) | Continuous |
| 21.315 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.189 | What will Alphabet's Q4 2025 constant-currency revenues be in these global regions? (EMEA) | Continuous |
| 21.074 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| 20.990 | Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.926 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 20.211 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| 19.910 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.811 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 19.756 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| 19.609 | Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026? | Binary |
| 19.124 | Who will win the 2026 Texas Democratic primary for US Senate? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.086 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.916 | What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections? | Continuous |
| 18.587 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 18.559 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.418 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 18.210 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.915 | What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.984 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.914 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.407 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| 15.301 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| 15.226 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 15.189 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 14.722 | Will the UK Parliament approve the target to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 87 per cent by 2040? | Binary |
| 14.082 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 14.011 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 14.007 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 13.535 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 13.446 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 13.445 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 13.430 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 13.364 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 13.270 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 13.089 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 13.083 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 16–22, 2026) | Continuous |
| 13.036 | How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games? | Continuous |
| 12.487 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Binary |
| 12.309 | What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.626 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 11.594 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais hold that race-conscious districting is unconstitutional? | Binary |
| 11.448 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.134 | What will Alphabet's Q4 2025 constant-currency revenues be in these global regions? (APAC) | Continuous |
| 11.004 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 10.995 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 10.994 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 10.662 | Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.527 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 10.455 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.246 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 9.624 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United Kingdom) | Continuous |
| 9.567 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 9.257 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 9.223 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Norway) | Continuous |
| 9.064 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 8.942 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 8.488 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 8.476 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.395 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 8.223 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| 8.222 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 8.092 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| 8.085 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 8.059 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 9–15, 2026) | Continuous |
| 8.044 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 30–Apr 5, 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.670 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 27–May 3, 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.479 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 7.475 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 20–26, 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.072 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 13–19, 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.027 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| 6.775 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.752 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 6–12, 2026) | Continuous |
| 5.609 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Qatar) | Continuous |
| 5.607 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bolivia) | Continuous |
| 5.607 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Montenegro) | Continuous |
| 5.604 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Estonia) | Continuous |
| 5.528 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 5.426 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Malaysia) | Continuous |
| 5.426 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Lithuania) | Continuous |
| 5.424 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Pakistan) | Continuous |
| 5.424 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Myanmar) | Continuous |
| 5.207 | How far will the Duke Blue Devils advance in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.142 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 5.080 | How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026? | Continuous |
| 5.012 | How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.714 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.650 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.441 | Will Brent crude oil reach $90 a barrel before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 4.335 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 4.276 | Who will win the 2026 Republican primary for the Texas 2nd Congressional District (where Dan Crenshaw is the incumbent)? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.921 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 3.795 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 23–29, 2026) | Continuous |
| 3.766 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 3.392 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 2.939 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 2.240 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 1.858 | Who will win the Achievement in Casting Oscar at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.666 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 0.839 | Where will Wishbone Deluxe debut on the Billboard 200? | Continuous |
| 0.787 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 0.784 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| 0.769 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 0.757 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 0.743 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 0.737 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| 0.737 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 0.706 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| 0.682 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 0.662 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.421 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| - | Who will win the Maryland Montgomery County Public Schools 2026 Student Member of the Board Election? | Multiple Choice |
| -0.068 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 2–8, 2026) | Continuous |
| -0.073 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -1.816 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Finland) | Continuous |
| -2.574 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -2.861 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -3.177 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February 2026, according to the TSA? (February 9, 2026-February 15, 2026) | Continuous |
| -4.053 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| -4.150 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.603 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -5.567 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period April 3-April 9, 2026? | Continuous |
| -5.659 | Before August 2026, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum? | Binary |
| -5.808 | Will the U.S. Senate pass another budget reconciliation bill before July 4, 2026? | Binary |
| -5.943 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.204 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| -6.418 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -7.315 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| -7.325 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| -7.777 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| -7.847 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -8.180 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Brazil) | Continuous |
| -8.180 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Canada) | Continuous |
| -8.187 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Romania) | Continuous |
| -8.310 | Will OpenAI release GPT-5.5 before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -8.365 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justice will write the majority opinion in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.397 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -8.853 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -9.057 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -9.527 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -10.081 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -10.323 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -10.686 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -10.858 | Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026? | Binary |
| -10.889 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| -10.932 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -11.009 | Will Brent crude oil reach $100 a barrel before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -11.441 | Will a bot be #1 in the Metaculus 2026 Baseline Leaderboard on the Ides of March 2026? | Binary |
| -11.516 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -11.691 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| -12.072 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -12.248 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| -12.508 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -12.634 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Albania) | Continuous |
| -12.676 | What proportion of SCOTUS decisions issued in Q2 2026 will be authored by a Democrat-appointed Justice? | Continuous |
| -13.139 | Will Stanford HAI’s 2026 AI Index report show U.S. private AI investment in 2025 at least 12x China’s? | Binary |
| -13.423 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Saudi Arabia) | Continuous |
| -14.005 | Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026? | Binary |
| -14.106 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -14.696 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -15.493 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| -15.636 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February 2026, according to the TSA? (Feb 23, 2026-Mar 1, 2026) | Continuous |
| -16.497 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -16.615 | How many active US drilling rigs will there be for the week ending July 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| -16.841 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on February 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -17.129 | Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin speak on the phone with each other before August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -17.398 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| -17.489 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -17.795 | Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026? | Binary |
| -17.971 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -18.093 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -18.143 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| -18.973 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| -19.720 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -19.733 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -19.772 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -20.264 | How many barrels of crude oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve on April 30, 2026? | Continuous |
| -20.590 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Türkiye) | Continuous |
| -21.035 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| -21.916 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on March 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -22.036 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| -22.097 | Will 12 or more oil tankers transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -22.585 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| -22.608 | Will Wagner Moura win the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Binary |
| -22.758 | Will the U.S. Senate pass an Iran war powers resolution before August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -22.915 | How many songs will Michael Jackson have on the Spotify Top 30 in the final full week of July? | Multiple Choice |
| -23.581 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -23.744 | Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before May 2026? | Binary |
| -24.064 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -24.239 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Thailand) | Continuous |
| -24.351 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (ΑΜΖΝ) | Continuous |
| -24.594 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -25.322 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| -25.480 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -26.172 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -26.520 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Mar-26) | Continuous |
| -26.532 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -27.214 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -27.251 | Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026? | Binary |
| -28.361 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -28.586 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -28.607 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -29.387 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| -30.462 | Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" in his State of the Union address on February 24, 2026? | Binary |
| -30.833 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -33.113 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on June 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -33.624 | Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus? | Binary |
| -33.691 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -34.335 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on April 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -34.362 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| -34.406 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Neil M. Gorsuch) | Binary |
| -34.731 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -34.934 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -36.298 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -36.305 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| -36.349 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Slovakia) | Continuous |
| -37.630 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Macau) | Continuous |
| -40.379 | Will any political party or coalition acquire a supermajority in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections? | Binary |
| -40.950 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -41.227 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| -43.440 | Will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person before April 3, 2026? | Binary |
| -43.769 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| -45.184 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -45.560 | [Short fuse] What will be the Rotten Tomatoes Rating for "Melania" on February 13th, 2026? | Continuous |
| -45.996 | Will Neymar be called up for Brazil in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| -47.028 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -48.867 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| -49.404 | Who will Donald Trump endorse in the Texas Republican US Senate runoff: John Cornyn or Ken Paxton? | Multiple Choice |
| -50.546 | Will any Individual Neutral Athlete (Russian and Belarusian athletes) win any medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| -51.028 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -51.370 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on June 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -52.831 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -54.154 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bangladesh) | Continuous |
| -55.543 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| -55.580 | Which party will win the second highest number of seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? | Multiple Choice |
| -55.883 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -56.943 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Chile) | Continuous |
| -58.105 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (North Macedonia) | Continuous |
| -59.044 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| -60.404 | Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100? | Binary |
| -61.442 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bosnia and Herzegovina) | Continuous |
| -61.745 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| -61.866 | Which party’s candidate will win the 2026 Saalekreis Landrat runoff election in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany? | Multiple Choice |
| -63.034 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (South Africa) | Continuous |
| -65.126 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (New Zealand) | Continuous |
| -66.821 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -67.095 | Will the June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for May 2026? | Binary |
| -67.844 | On July 8, 2026, will Marine Le Pen be ineligible to run in the 2027 French presidential election? | Binary |
| -68.222 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -68.401 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Ketanji Brown Jackson) | Binary |
| -68.663 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -68.703 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Azerbaijan) | Continuous |
| -68.726 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Turkmenistan) | Continuous |
| -69.315 | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Apr-26) | Continuous |
| -71.014 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kyrgyzstan) | Continuous |
| -71.079 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| -71.844 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -74.442 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| -75.281 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| -75.997 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Iceland) | Continuous |
| -76.488 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Algeria) | Continuous |
| -78.228 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Luxembourg) | Continuous |
| -78.833 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -79.142 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| -79.906 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -79.909 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -80.587 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -81.576 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -81.699 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -81.902 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period March 27-April 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -83.327 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| -83.543 | Will Saudi Arabia conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -85.887 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ireland) | Continuous |
| -86.011 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -87.883 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Argentina) | Continuous |
| -90.842 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Sweden) | Continuous |
| -92.947 | Will the U.S. Congress still be operating under a continuing resolution (CR) on March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| -93.489 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Indonesia) | Continuous |
| -94.787 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Belarus) | Continuous |
| -95.969 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Uzbekistan) | Continuous |
| -97.088 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Netherlands) | Continuous |
| -99.763 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Yes) → What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision? | Continuous |
| -111.438 | Will the United Arab Emirates conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -130.890 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -145.787 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| -207.387 | Will George Soros be the top Democratic-aligned donor on WaPo's leaderboard with at least 3x the #2 donor as of August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -264.499 | Will H.R.6644, the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, become law before July 4, 2026? | Binary |