148.259 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
99.289 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
98.788 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
94.951 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
92.820 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
92.702 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
92.671 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
92.364 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
91.134 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
91.061 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
90.606 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
86.957 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
86.814 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
84.293 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
84.125 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
83.275 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
82.550 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
82.420 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
80.646 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
77.335 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
76.861 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
76.656 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
76.291 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
75.875 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
74.817 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
74.760 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
74.175 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
73.356 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
72.326 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
71.387 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
71.182 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
70.700 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
70.251 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
69.219 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
68.823 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
68.524 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
68.359 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
67.681 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
67.145 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
64.853 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
64.374 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
64.162 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
64.041 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
63.556 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
63.146 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
62.461 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
61.681 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
60.013 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
59.966 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
58.974 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
58.220 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
57.910 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
57.485 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
57.090 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
56.605 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
55.551 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
55.322 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
54.489 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
54.195 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
54.033 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
52.122 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
51.501 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
51.120 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
51.075 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
51.016 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
49.156 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
48.303 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
48.292 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
48.212 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
47.206 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
46.420 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
46.253 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
45.881 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
45.459 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
44.476 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
43.255 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
42.176 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
41.668 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
41.305 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
40.945 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
40.359 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
39.412 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
38.460 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
37.916 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
37.548 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
37.453 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
36.834 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
35.423 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
35.129 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
34.402 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
33.290 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
33.204 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
32.999 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
32.891 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
31.508 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
29.950 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
29.564 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
28.473 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
28.419 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
27.421 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
25.107 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
24.278 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
24.075 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
23.926 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
23.649 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
21.711 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
20.978 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
20.840 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
20.419 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
17.772 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
17.437 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
15.822 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
11.671 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
10.568 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
9.998 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
9.651 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
8.635 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
7.550 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
7.477 | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
5.844 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
5.485 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
5.119 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
4.584 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
1.036 | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
-1.031 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
-1.248 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
-1.711 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
-3.827 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-4.386 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
-4.903 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-4.950 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-5.451 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-5.688 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-7.906 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-9.470 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
-11.902 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
-12.159 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-14.038 | When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility? | Continuous |
-14.980 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
-15.549 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
-18.482 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-19.365 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-19.443 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-21.072 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
-22.153 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
-22.340 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
-22.692 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-22.899 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-23.070 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-23.604 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-28.315 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
-36.094 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-39.623 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-41.860 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-47.383 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-53.292 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-55.040 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-55.206 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-59.165 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-62.547 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-71.112 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-71.226 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-73.308 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-73.658 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-75.082 | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-95.694 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-95.987 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-96.772 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-102.293 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-129.586 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-141.394 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-148.706 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
-193.295 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-199.781 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-219.954 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
-220.117 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-233.645 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-329.568 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-838.569 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |