114.663 | What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025? | Continuous |
109.223 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
99.229 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
96.132 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
95.499 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
93.933 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
91.651 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
88.251 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
87.845 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
85.942 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
84.862 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
82.308 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
82.236 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
81.812 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
81.789 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
81.487 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
81.425 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
80.760 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
80.743 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
80.200 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
77.915 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
77.243 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
76.009 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
74.912 | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
74.379 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
73.412 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
73.156 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
72.097 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
71.318 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
70.932 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
67.552 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
67.194 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
66.474 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
65.110 | Who will be the next President of Romania in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
64.177 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
62.721 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
56.654 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
55.578 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
53.330 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
52.994 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
51.860 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
50.366 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
49.968 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
49.872 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
49.748 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
49.254 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
48.533 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
47.788 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
47.087 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
46.842 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
45.788 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
45.776 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
43.257 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
41.986 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
41.127 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
40.978 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
39.851 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
37.827 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
36.857 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
33.216 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
31.729 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
30.251 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
28.964 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
26.159 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
25.765 | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
25.679 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
24.336 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
22.229 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
22.034 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
21.793 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
21.685 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
16.008 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
15.687 | What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election? | Continuous |
15.002 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
14.608 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
13.631 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
11.783 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
11.690 | Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025? | Binary |
11.489 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
11.223 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
11.020 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
10.744 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
10.609 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
10.127 | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections? | Binary |
9.265 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
9.014 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
8.986 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
8.403 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
7.876 | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
6.772 | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
6.282 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
6.009 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
5.378 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
5.059 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
4.398 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
3.219 | Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
3.091 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
2.066 | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
1.828 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
1.376 | Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off? | Multiple Choice |
0.992 | Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
0.383 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
0.298 | Will any top US official visit Greenland in 2025? | Binary |
-0.512 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
-2.431 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
-2.942 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
-7.821 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
-12.395 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
-12.907 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-12.961 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-14.203 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-14.306 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-14.341 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
-15.304 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-15.393 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-17.108 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
-18.748 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
-19.429 | When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility? | Continuous |
-21.969 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-22.014 | When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-27.031 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
-27.102 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-29.845 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
-31.979 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-32.027 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-34.217 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-35.279 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-37.416 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-38.211 | What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-39.008 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-41.968 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-49.210 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
-55.874 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-63.743 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
-72.140 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-74.014 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-97.981 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-102.442 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-119.638 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-134.935 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-147.308 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
-162.726 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-559.632 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |