| 120.720 | 100.0% | Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 114.955 | 98.9% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 102.191 | 95.1% | [Short Fuse] Will Donald Trump win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize? | Binary |
| 97.061 | 99.2% | Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF? | Binary |
| 93.046 | 94.3% | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 89.742 | 98.3% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 88.234 | 95.3% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 88.215 | 74.5% | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 87.829 | 81.0% | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 87.566 | 99.5% | Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season? | Multiple Choice |
| 84.512 | 97.4% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 83.883 | 91.7% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 80.273 | 83.2% | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 77.624 | 93.6% | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
| 74.315 | 85.4% | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
| 73.445 | 97.7% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 69.120 | 90.7% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 66.572 | 97.4% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| 64.666 | 98.2% | Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 60.086 | 99.8% | Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 59.330 | 97.7% | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 59.293 | 88.4% | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 59.207 | 90.8% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 53.422 | 98.2% | Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025? | Binary |
| 52.976 | 99.2% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 52.921 | 95.8% | Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026? | Binary |
| 52.636 | 60.9% | Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026? | Binary |
| 50.953 | 42.5% | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| 49.771 | 70.2% | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 49.235 | 91.2% | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| 47.943 | 98.1% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.790 | 92.1% | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 44.999 | 98.2% | Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.719 | 99.8% | What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 42.508 | 97.8% | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| 41.185 | 97.7% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 39.334 | 95.0% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.201 | 91.8% | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 38.750 | 95.9% | Who will win the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 38.345 | 96.3% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 38.085 | 98.9% | Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 38.076 | 97.7% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 37.801 | 97.7% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 36.475 | 98.0% | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| 36.390 | 98.2% | Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 36.078 | 95.9% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 35.515 | 71.2% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 35.286 | 95.8% | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo serve continuously as leader of Spain's People's Party (PP) through the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 34.578 | 98.2% | Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 34.377 | 97.4% | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.920 | 98.2% | Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 32.882 | 98.2% | Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025? | Binary |
| 30.613 | 91.3% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.509 | 98.2% | In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.050 | 100.0% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 29.629 | 98.1% | What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.580 | 87.9% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.511 | 97.5% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 28.300 | 94.1% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 27.704 | 94.8% | Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026? | Binary |
| 26.791 | 99.6% | When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine? | Continuous |
| 25.846 | 97.6% | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 25.742 | 97.3% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 25.512 | 95.6% | How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.921 | 81.9% | Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026? | Binary |
| 24.248 | 95.8% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 24.095 | 98.2% | Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 23.697 | 98.2% | Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 23.209 | 100.0% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.862 | 97.5% | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| 22.783 | 98.4% | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.643 | 97.6% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 21.852 | 95.5% | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 21.352 | 99.8% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 20.061 | 98.6% | How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.968 | 91.3% | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.346 | 99.9% | How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 19.091 | 94.0% | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
| 18.762 | 97.6% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 18.265 | 97.7% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 18.222 | 71.9% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.811 | 97.7% | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.589 | 74.8% | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 17.286 | 99.7% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.256 | 99.1% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.476 | 97.7% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 15.601 | 98.7% | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 15.433 | 37.6% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 15.431 | 47.8% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 15.266 | 98.2% | Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 15.229 | 19.6% | How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.159 | 74.5% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.118 | 93.0% | Will the People's Party win an absolute majority in the next regional elections in Extremadura, Spain? | Binary |
| 15.070 | 75.2% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.048 | 98.2% | Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023? | Binary |
| 15.044 | 99.8% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 14.420 | 97.7% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.184 | 96.7% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.182 | 87.3% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.166 | 97.2% | Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025? | Binary |
| 14.054 | 99.9% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.850 | 87.5% | What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025? | Continuous |
| 13.746 | 97.7% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 13.095 | 43.3% | What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire? | Continuous |
| 12.945 | 97.8% | How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025? | Continuous |
| 12.896 | 97.5% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.883 | 89.8% | Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 12.708 | 98.2% | Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise? | Binary |
| 12.537 | 64.8% | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.544 | 91.9% | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.480 | 98.6% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 10.980 | 94.2% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 10.478 | 30.0% | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.092 | 16.7% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 9.689 | 98.9% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.570 | 95.0% | Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.469 | 30.2% | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.414 | 99.0% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 9.302 | 97.3% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| 9.016 | 54.9% | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.961 | 97.3% | What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.949 | 96.3% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.919 | 47.3% | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 8.699 | 96.4% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 8.692 | 64.9% | Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 8.640 | 15.0% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 8.625 | 82.7% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.556 | 93.7% | Will Japan's House of Representatives be dissolved before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.246 | 97.6% | Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 8.246 | 88.3% | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 7.629 | 97.7% | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.420 | 88.1% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 7.180 | 98.2% | Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector? | Binary |
| 7.159 | 50.2% | Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.101 | 84.6% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 7.089 | 98.2% | Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025? | Binary |
| 6.588 | 98.2% | Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 6.409 | 88.9% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.395 | 38.7% | When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Winners announced!) | Continuous |
| 6.292 | 63.0% | Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land? | Binary |
| 6.184 | 96.4% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 5.808 | 33.1% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| 5.794 | 83.9% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.669 | 31.5% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.568 | 56.8% | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| 5.485 | 98.2% | Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average? | Binary |
| 4.913 | 98.2% | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Binary |
| 4.705 | 88.5% | Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.439 | 94.0% | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
| 4.242 | 90.2% | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| 4.163 | 97.5% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.688 | 45.4% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.446 | 99.3% | Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 3.086 | 23.6% | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.755 | 93.5% | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.674 | 71.3% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 2.618 | 35.3% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 2.355 | 99.9% | Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.339 | 90.3% | When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? | Continuous |
| 2.255 | 67.2% | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections? | Continuous |
| 1.668 | 16.9% | Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.450 | 96.4% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 1.399 | 93.1% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.002 | 99.8% | Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.409 | 8.1% | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
| 0.022 | 93.0% | Will Bangladesh's former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina return from exile before the following years? (Before 2026) | Binary |
| -0.263 | 7.8% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| -0.341 | 43.7% | Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -0.747 | 10.0% | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
| -1.095 | 93.7% | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
| -1.563 | 28.4% | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
| -1.727 | 96.8% | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| -2.217 | 95.6% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.496 | 6.1% | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| -2.613 | 86.6% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -2.675 | 9.2% | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| -3.603 | 99.9% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November) | Continuous |
| -3.723 | 98.3% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.032 | 54.7% | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.246 | 93.8% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -4.601 | 91.1% | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| -4.894 | 73.4% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| -5.695 | 98.4% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| -6.448 | 11.0% | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| -6.814 | 98.0% | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| -7.903 | 96.0% | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -9.035 | 98.4% | Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025? | Binary |
| -9.522 | 99.9% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December) | Continuous |
| -10.063 | 27.2% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -10.771 | 99.2% | Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year? | Binary |
| -13.667 | 92.8% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
| -16.305 | 64.0% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| -18.085 | 88.3% | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
| -18.312 | 27.3% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| -19.345 | 87.9% | Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026? | Binary |
| -20.314 | 91.8% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| -25.193 | 93.6% | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
| -27.445 | 86.9% | What will happen next concerning the US executive order “Reevaluating And Realigning United States Foreign Aid”? | Multiple Choice |
| -33.046 | 99.5% | Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026? | Binary |
| -45.611 | 43.6% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -50.347 | 99.7% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| -75.313 | 94.1% | How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week? | Continuous |
| -174.828 | 75.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |