OpenSystem

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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5318	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
104.925	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
104.555	When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?	Continuous
98.315	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
96.315	Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	Binary
95.927	Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?	Binary
95.744	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
95.210	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
95.113	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
94.037	Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?	Binary
92.382	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
91.604	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
91.427	Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026?	Binary
91.378	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
90.808	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
90.547	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
90.492	Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025?	Binary
89.879	Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026?	Binary
89.356	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
88.233	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
87.674	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
87.664	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
87.330	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
86.947	Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?	Binary
86.072	Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?	Binary
85.695	Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?	Binary
85.636	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
85.634	Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?	Binary
85.441	Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections?	Binary
84.531	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
84.530	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
84.484	How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026?	Continuous
84.172	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
83.685	Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?	Binary
83.369	How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?	Multiple Choice
82.251	Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026?	Binary
81.519	Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise?	Binary
81.390	Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026)	Binary
81.179	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
81.151	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
80.924	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
80.707	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
80.256	Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?	Binary
79.951	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
79.163	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
78.944	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
78.778	Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
78.630	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
78.521	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
78.460	Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?	Binary
78.421	Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?	Binary
77.865	Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average?	Binary
77.699	Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?	Binary
77.461	Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
77.006	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
76.751	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
76.606	Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?	Binary
76.487	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
75.967	Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?	Binary
75.667	Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026?	Binary
74.812	Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?	Binary
74.792	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
74.096	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
73.679	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
73.525	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
71.417	When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine?	Continuous
68.125	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
68.072	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
67.212	Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025?	Binary
67.093	Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?	Binary
66.943	Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?	Binary
66.638	Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?	Binary
66.111	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
65.971	Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?	Multiple Choice
65.065	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
64.838	Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?	Binary
64.746	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
64.525	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
64.403	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
63.816	What will be the homicide rate per 100,000 inhabitants in Brazil in 2024?	Continuous
62.950	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
61.417	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
59.817	What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?	Continuous
59.256	Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award?	Multiple Choice
58.814	What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?	Continuous
58.026	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
58.013	Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?	Multiple Choice
57.680	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
55.342	Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?	Binary
55.339	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
54.977	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
54.957	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
54.365	Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?	Binary
53.685	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
53.489	How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?	Multiple Choice
52.430	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
51.957	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
51.796	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
51.666	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
49.795	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
49.333	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?	Binary
48.370	How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?	Continuous
48.228	How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025?	Continuous
47.961	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
47.565	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
46.269	What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?	Continuous
44.628	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
44.600	Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?	Binary
43.928	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
42.525	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
41.380	Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?	Binary
39.717	Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?	Binary
38.965	How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?	Continuous
38.018	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
37.932	Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?	Multiple Choice
36.376	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
35.684	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
34.655	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
34.144	What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season?	Continuous
33.930	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
33.493	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
33.454	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
32.539	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
32.403	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
32.151	What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th?	Continuous
31.504	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
29.675	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
29.089	How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?	Multiple Choice
28.637	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
28.401	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
28.329	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
27.883	How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?	Continuous
27.256	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)	Continuous
27.122	Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025?	Binary
25.423	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
25.405	Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025?	Binary
25.298	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
25.029	Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?	Binary
23.855	Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025?	Binary
22.966	Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?	Multiple Choice
22.569	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
21.627	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
20.523	Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
19.927	What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?	Continuous
19.864	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
19.712	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
19.394	Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
19.119	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9)	Continuous
18.451	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
18.367	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
16.182	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
15.481	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
14.552	Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?	Binary
14.433	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
14.220	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
14.031	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
13.883	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women)	Continuous
13.226	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
11.724	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
11.363	What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?	Continuous
11.028	Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?	Binary
11.008	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections?	Binary
10.750	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
10.557	How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?	Continuous
10.325	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men)	Continuous
8.034	Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?	Binary
7.930	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
6.504	Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League?	Binary
5.707	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
5.554	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)	Continuous
5.373	When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?	Continuous
5.318	How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend?	Continuous
5.018	How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff?	Multiple Choice
4.415	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
4.284	Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?	Binary
4.209	Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season?	Multiple Choice
3.728	Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?	Binary
3.248	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
2.004	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
1.815	Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?	Binary
0.004	Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025?	Binary
0.001	Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?	Binary
-	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
-	Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025?	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
-	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
-	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
-	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
-	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
-	Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?	Binary
-	Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?	Multiple Choice
-0.296	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
-0.638	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
-3.143	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
-3.427	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
-4.382	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
-5.620	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
-5.778	How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week?	Continuous
-6.400	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
-6.616	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
-6.758	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-7.264	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
-7.790	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
-8.893	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
-9.236	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
-12.811	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
-15.291	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
-16.972	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
-17.536	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
-18.949	Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025?	Multiple Choice
-20.332	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
-22.081	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
-23.941	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
-26.438	Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026?	Binary
-27.711	Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?	Multiple Choice
-29.582	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-30.786	How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series?	Continuous
-30.862	Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season?	Binary
-32.576	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
-32.877	Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
-33.672	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
-34.147	Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026?	Binary
-35.095	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
-35.979	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
-36.057	What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?	Multiple Choice
-36.239	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
-39.364	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?	Binary
-40.807	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
-43.508	Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?	Binary
-46.101	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
-46.244	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
-46.635	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-48.876	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
-52.114	Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?	Binary
-52.440	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-65.088	Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25?	Binary
-67.226	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
-77.325	What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025?	Continuous
-80.563	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
-87.271	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-88.802	Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?	Binary
-89.485	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
-92.927	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-101.216	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
-101.552	Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?	Binary
-116.226	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
-117.920	Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?	Binary
-120.682	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?	Multiple Choice
-125.535	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-126.245	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
-131.498	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
-144.990	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-156.184	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?	Binary
-157.385	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-160.779	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary
-207.504	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-249.734	Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	Binary
-326.771	Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?	Binary