DiggerDeeper

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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3339	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
105.398	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
97.442	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
91.032	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
89.843	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
86.468	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
84.745	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
84.115	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
82.891	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
82.830	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
80.629	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
79.716	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
78.162	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
77.495	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
77.131	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
75.243	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
75.071	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
74.456	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
72.956	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
72.750	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
72.396	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
72.074	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
71.893	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
71.812	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
71.780	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
71.449	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
69.931	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
68.207	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
67.994	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
67.170	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
67.102	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
66.786	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
66.641	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
66.616	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20)	Continuous
66.425	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
64.887	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
63.718	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
63.684	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
63.450	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
63.390	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
63.046	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
62.309	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
61.267	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
60.785	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
60.532	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
59.759	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
59.087	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
58.873	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
58.480	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
56.983	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
56.612	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
55.652	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
55.524	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
55.247	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
54.702	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
53.685	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
53.473	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
51.872	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
51.365	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
51.275	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
51.112	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27)	Continuous
50.904	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
50.075	What percent of Americans will hold a favorable view of China per the Pew Research Center's 2025 annual poll?	Continuous
49.746	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
49.329	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
48.863	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
46.901	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
46.484	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
45.604	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
45.446	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
44.141	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
42.205	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
41.322	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
38.852	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
38.838	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
36.438	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
35.674	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
34.820	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
31.359	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
30.694	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9)	Continuous
29.807	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
29.495	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
29.112	Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?	Binary
28.309	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
28.184	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
27.783	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
26.518	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
26.299	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
26.273	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
25.793	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
25.500	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
25.111	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
25.099	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
22.977	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
22.962	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
22.584	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
21.281	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
20.184	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27)	Binary
19.496	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
19.426	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
18.068	When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?	Multiple Choice
16.530	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion)	Binary
16.520	Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)?	Binary
15.004	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
13.491	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
12.756	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
12.417	What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?	Multiple Choice
12.071	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
11.809	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
11.739	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
10.758	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
10.685	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
9.829	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
9.215	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
8.991	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
8.312	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
6.945	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
6.705	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
6.570	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
6.500	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
6.294	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?	Binary
4.667	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
4.523	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
4.283	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
3.255	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
2.144	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
1.873	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
1.850	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
1.745	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
-0.775	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
-1.282	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
-2.123	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-3.110	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
-3.135	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
-4.659	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
-5.879	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
-5.986	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
-6.133	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
-7.110	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
-7.265	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
-9.218	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
-9.393	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
-9.490	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
-13.031	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
-13.607	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-14.499	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
-18.730	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN)	Binary
-20.416	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-21.458	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-21.785	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
-23.040	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
-26.948	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-33.038	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
-38.873	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
-39.812	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-40.513	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-41.309	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
-41.830	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
-42.336	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-44.541	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
-46.067	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
-46.375	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
-56.561	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
-63.281	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-64.482	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-66.408	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-70.878	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-74.718	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
-75.088	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
-75.374	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
-87.489	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-88.762	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
-105.200	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-143.185	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
-162.763	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-230.040	Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025?	Binary
-403.664	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary