| 131.888 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 97.455 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 94.734 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 93.633 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 93.169 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| 93.125 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
| 90.933 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 88.317 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 88.284 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 88.098 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 87.492 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 87.166 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 86.870 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
| 85.242 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 84.939 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 84.721 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 82.987 | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 82.649 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 82.184 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 81.047 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 80.947 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 80.462 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 79.030 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 78.780 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 78.640 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 76.864 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 76.421 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 75.213 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.418 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 73.721 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 73.352 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.203 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.945 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 71.883 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.661 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 71.399 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.326 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 71.236 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 71.083 | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 70.671 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
| 70.536 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 68.685 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
| 68.220 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.835 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 67.561 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 67.447 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 65.477 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 63.249 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| 62.776 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 62.315 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 62.296 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 62.266 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 62.120 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 61.983 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 61.680 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 60.609 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 60.348 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 60.170 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.110 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 59.760 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
| 57.786 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.330 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.204 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 56.656 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 54.450 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| 54.163 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 53.763 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 53.304 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 53.122 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 53.109 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 52.912 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 52.768 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 52.419 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 51.583 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 51.257 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 51.171 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 50.710 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 50.260 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 50.042 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 50.009 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 49.839 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
| 48.426 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 48.005 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 47.683 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 47.578 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.940 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 46.556 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 45.772 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 45.432 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
| 45.198 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 45.102 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 44.472 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 43.976 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 43.860 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.601 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 43.453 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| 42.732 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 42.706 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 42.056 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.978 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 41.886 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 41.755 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 41.274 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 40.502 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
| 40.436 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 40.237 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 40.186 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 40.143 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 39.563 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 37.673 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 36.754 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.169 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 36.012 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (April 12, 2025) | Continuous |
| 35.707 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 35.531 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 35.015 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
| 34.596 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 34.482 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
| 33.367 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 33.030 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
| 32.725 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
| 31.393 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 30.231 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
| 29.902 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 29.842 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
| 29.087 | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 27.857 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
| 27.607 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 27.367 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| 27.049 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 26.977 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
| 26.718 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 26.359 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 26.091 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 25.535 | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.499 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
| 24.235 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 23.607 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 23.596 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 23.497 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.677 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.033 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| 21.575 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
| 21.309 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 20.376 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 20.177 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 19.268 | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.356 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.864 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.858 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (March 29, 2025) | Continuous |
| 17.650 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
| 17.525 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
| 16.737 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.527 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 29, 2025) | Continuous |
| 16.397 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 15.967 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 15.504 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 14.346 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.345 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 14.331 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.240 | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 14.081 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 13.854 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 13.255 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 13.193 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 13.071 | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.894 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
| 12.724 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 12.448 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 12.329 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 11.957 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.192 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 10.786 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.984 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.377 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.881 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 8.698 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.238 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| 8.182 | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections? | Binary |
| 7.004 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 6.615 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
| 6.585 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.327 | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 6.294 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 6.236 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 5.427 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 5.111 | Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.085 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 4.323 | Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.273 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 4.196 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.128 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 3.875 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.732 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 3.541 | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.345 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 3.175 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.774 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.424 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.347 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 1.813 | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.662 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 1.483 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.470 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.314 | Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.222 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
| 0.667 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
| 0.392 | Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.143 | What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| - | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| -0.154 | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
| -3.417 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -4.243 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| -6.608 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| -7.067 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.542 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -8.826 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -9.461 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| -10.119 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| -12.260 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -12.379 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -12.449 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -14.549 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
| -14.770 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
| -15.508 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| -16.003 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| -16.616 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -17.695 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| -19.152 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| -20.026 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
| -20.484 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| -21.503 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -23.488 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
| -23.781 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| -23.871 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| -24.102 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
| -24.569 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
| -24.670 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| -24.884 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| -26.652 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| -28.551 | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -28.605 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -28.670 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -31.814 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| -33.086 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -34.860 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| -35.553 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -38.414 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -38.663 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| -39.141 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
| -41.310 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| -42.078 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
| -44.768 | Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025? | Binary |
| -47.253 | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| -60.027 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| -64.250 | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| -67.822 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| -71.152 | What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| -79.124 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -79.633 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| -80.837 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
| -86.872 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
| -93.784 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| -102.216 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| -107.210 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
| -107.558 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -122.437 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
| -130.627 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
| -137.249 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -140.260 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -141.463 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
| -159.513 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
| -167.880 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| -177.686 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| -179.337 | What will the highest rank of metac-GPT4o or metac-o1 be in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| -183.318 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| -212.225 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |