135.576 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
112.574 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
99.115 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
96.548 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
92.465 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
89.720 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
87.075 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
84.551 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
81.846 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
81.281 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
78.963 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
76.564 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
75.671 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
72.938 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
71.718 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
69.890 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
68.839 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
67.489 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
66.843 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
65.510 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
63.765 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
62.376 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
61.705 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
59.075 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
57.941 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
57.236 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
57.212 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
56.266 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
56.104 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
56.092 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
55.661 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
55.610 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
54.522 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
54.073 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
53.935 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
53.445 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
52.361 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
50.989 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
50.921 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
50.789 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
50.640 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
50.248 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
47.329 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
45.516 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
44.068 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
43.060 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
41.429 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
41.385 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
40.458 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
40.050 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
39.546 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
38.306 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
37.254 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
35.999 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
35.405 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
35.219 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
34.662 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
33.588 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
32.855 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
32.787 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
31.967 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
31.917 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
31.748 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
31.318 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
28.629 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
28.217 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
27.252 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
27.241 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
26.288 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
25.659 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
25.549 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
24.945 | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
24.610 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
24.520 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
24.062 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
23.574 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
23.559 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
23.393 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
22.734 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
22.728 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
21.384 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
21.284 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
20.819 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
19.733 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
19.363 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
18.961 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
16.818 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
16.358 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
16.211 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
15.011 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
14.839 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
14.234 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
14.005 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
13.870 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
13.535 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
12.732 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
12.161 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
11.370 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
10.095 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
9.692 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
9.635 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
9.326 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
7.463 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
7.443 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
5.441 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
4.550 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
3.683 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
3.640 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
3.072 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
2.195 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
2.046 | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
1.793 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
1.699 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
0.718 | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
0.636 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
-0.033 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
-1.081 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-1.168 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-2.266 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
-2.448 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
-7.450 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-8.311 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
-9.359 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
-9.553 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
-10.047 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-10.255 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-10.449 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
-13.128 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-13.914 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-15.053 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-15.657 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-17.908 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-23.125 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
-28.123 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-28.899 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-29.254 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-37.638 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-43.867 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-44.840 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-45.337 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-50.115 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-58.583 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-67.743 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-68.323 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
-68.677 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
-72.562 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-73.918 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-74.288 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-84.033 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
-93.691 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-112.792 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-117.889 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-118.895 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-182.353 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-189.857 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-497.705 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |