🤖 metac-deepseek-r1+asknews

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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9101	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
98.198	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés)	Binary
98.192	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami)	Binary
98.167	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls)	Binary
95.267	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara)	Binary
93.448	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
92.205	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls)	Binary
92.092	What will be the total domestic box office in the US & Canada during 2025?	Continuous
87.527	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Harka Raj Sampang Rai)	Binary
86.282	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi)	Binary
86.213	What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?	Continuous
81.932	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (United States)	Binary
81.288	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi)	Binary
79.508	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
78.401	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Kulman Ghising)	Binary
77.849	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Balendra Shah)	Binary
77.338	Will the Dutch unemployment rate rise above 5% in any month of 2025?	Binary
76.558	Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?	Binary
76.176	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Rabi Lamichhane)	Binary
76.004	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
75.789	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
74.900	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (MSTR)	Binary
74.350	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
73.639	Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?	Binary
72.936	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei)	Binary
72.352	Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025?	Binary
72.192	Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?	Binary
72.110	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
70.879	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Sushila Karki)	Binary
69.385	Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?	Binary
69.279	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Peru)	Binary
69.235	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
68.568	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
68.491	Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026?	Binary
67.891	Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?	Binary
67.106	[Short Fuse] Will Donald Trump win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize?	Binary
66.214	Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025?	Binary
66.072	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
65.881	Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?	Binary
65.117	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
64.793	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
64.582	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
64.268	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
64.206	Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?	Binary
64.005	Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?	Binary
63.300	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
62.653	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
62.481	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
61.406	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés)	Binary
61.364	Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?	Multiple Choice
60.819	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
60.596	Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award?	Multiple Choice
60.565	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Ukraine)	Binary
59.957	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Israel)	Binary
59.305	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
58.364	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
58.277	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei)	Binary
58.036	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
57.955	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
57.810	Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?	Multiple Choice
57.708	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
56.846	Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?	Binary
56.127	Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?	Binary
55.941	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
55.899	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
54.923	Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026?	Binary
54.860	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Turkiye)	Binary
54.285	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)	Binary
53.970	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
53.870	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
53.646	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
53.618	Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?	Multiple Choice
53.015	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
52.999	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
52.409	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami)	Binary
51.723	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
51.622	Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026?	Binary
51.465	Who will win the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Multiple Choice
50.761	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
50.565	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
50.490	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
50.330	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Lebanon)	Binary
49.887	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
49.549	Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?	Binary
49.115	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
48.966	Will the People's Party win an absolute majority in the next regional elections in Extremadura, Spain?	Binary
48.917	Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?	Binary
48.872	Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?	Binary
48.418	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
48.174	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
47.974	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
47.949	How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?	Continuous
47.674	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
47.560	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
47.293	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
47.230	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
46.995	Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?	Binary
46.660	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
46.391	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
45.603	Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?	Binary
45.011	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
44.921	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
44.737	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
44.573	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara)	Binary
44.242	Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?	Binary
43.794	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
43.403	Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?	Binary
43.313	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
43.146	Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?	Binary
43.081	How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025?	Continuous
42.796	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
42.502	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
42.488	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
42.458	How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in November 2025?	Continuous
42.379	Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?	Binary
42.141	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
41.990	Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025?	Multiple Choice
41.688	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
41.396	Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?	Multiple Choice
40.980	How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?	Continuous
40.844	Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?	Multiple Choice
40.678	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
40.518	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
40.360	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
40.301	Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
40.280	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
40.227	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Dec-25)	Continuous
39.971	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
39.930	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
39.892	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
39.832	Will Chegg file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?	Binary
38.279	Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?	Binary
38.143	How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026?	Continuous
38.076	Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026?	Binary
37.706	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast)	Binary
37.455	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
37.415	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
37.386	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
37.288	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
37.026	Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?	Binary
36.948	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Nov-25)	Continuous
36.805	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
36.753	Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?	Binary
36.633	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
36.608	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
36.175	Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?	Binary
35.603	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
35.440	Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
35.394	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
35.253	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
34.803	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
34.776	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
34.706	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
34.685	Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?	Binary
34.204	Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?	Binary
33.859	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
33.716	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
33.481	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
33.469	What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (September 2025)	Continuous
32.863	Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?	Binary
32.615	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
32.534	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
32.254	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
32.170	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast)	Binary
32.075	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
31.912	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Limits on share buybacks)	Binary
31.866	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
31.671	What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?	Continuous
31.619	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
31.225	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
30.812	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
30.622	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
30.540	Will Cracker Barrel's revenues decline in its Q1 FY2026 (August-October 2025) compared to the previous year?	Binary
30.337	How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025?	Continuous
29.632	Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?	Multiple Choice
29.562	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Aravindh Chithambaram)	Binary
29.502	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Magnus Carlsen)	Binary
29.393	Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?	Continuous
29.242	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?	Binary
29.170	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
28.966	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (R Praggnanandhaa)	Binary
28.739	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
28.728	Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?	Binary
28.650	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev)	Binary
28.325	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura)	Binary
28.323	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Anish Giri)	Binary
28.322	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Shakhriyar Mamedyarov)	Binary
28.322	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hans Niemann)	Binary
28.321	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda)	Binary
28.117	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
28.115	Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?	Continuous
27.819	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
27.562	Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?	Binary
27.430	Will resident doctors in England receive a further pay increase before 2026?	Binary
27.407	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi)	Binary
27.287	When will the Myanmar military junta collapse?	Multiple Choice
27.242	Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025?	Binary
26.986	Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?	Binary
26.968	Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
26.925	Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?	Binary
26.924	Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?	Binary
26.736	Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?	Binary
26.642	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
26.581	What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Sep-25)	Continuous
26.496	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
26.165	Who Will be President of Zimbabwe on January 1, 2026?	Multiple Choice
26.139	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi)	Binary
25.632	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wesley So)	Binary
25.368	Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?	Binary
25.316	Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025?	Binary
25.149	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ding Liren)	Binary
24.870	Will the FTC's proposed ban on non-compete agreements for most workers be enacted in more or less its current form before 2026?	Binary
24.781	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Investment Tax Credits (48Ε)?	Binary
24.764	How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?	Multiple Choice
24.600	What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?	Continuous
24.421	What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th?	Continuous
24.245	Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?	Binary
24.234	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
24.012	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
23.924	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
23.792	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
23.351	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
23.317	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
23.200	Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
22.963	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
22.951	Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise?	Binary
22.898	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo serve continuously as leader of Spain's People's Party (PP) through the end of 2025?	Binary
22.827	Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?	Binary
22.760	Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?	Multiple Choice
22.668	Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?	Binary
22.575	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov)	Binary
22.417	Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?	Binary
22.290	Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025?	Binary
22.187	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Capped credits)	Binary
21.914	Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	Binary
21.728	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
21.577	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Alireza Firouzja)	Binary
21.479	In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released?	Multiple Choice
21.398	Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026?	Binary
21.298	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
21.191	What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025?	Continuous
21.131	What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Continuous
21.075	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
20.847	Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?	Binary
20.540	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Production Tax Credits (45Y)?	Binary
20.374	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
20.329	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
20.089	Will the U.S. tax code still allow carried interest to be taxed as a long-term capital gain on January 1, 2026?	Binary
20.005	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
19.855	Will Ukraine reduce the minimum age for compulsory military service before 2026?	Binary
19.706	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
19.666	Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
19.567	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
19.463	Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	Multiple Choice
19.317	How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?	Continuous
19.201	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
19.136	Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?	Binary
18.708	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
18.611	Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?	Binary
18.589	What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?	Continuous
18.566	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
18.429	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
18.193	Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?	Binary
18.136	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Levon Aronian)	Binary
18.026	Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?	Binary
18.017	Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?	Binary
17.811	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
17.778	Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?	Binary
17.722	Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026?	Binary
17.549	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
17.549	What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Sep-25)	Continuous
17.492	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave)	Binary
17.426	Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025?	Binary
17.145	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
17.123	Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (DeepSeek)	Binary
16.791	How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week?	Continuous
16.673	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
16.631	Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?	Binary
16.359	What will be the global year-over-year change in seated diners reported by OpenTable for the week ending January 1, 2026?	Continuous
16.302	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
16.203	Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025?	Binary
16.170	When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?	Multiple Choice
15.895	Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024?	Binary
15.483	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
15.207	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vincent Keymer)	Binary
15.095	Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
14.805	What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (December 2025)	Continuous
14.574	How many people will be added to the Viasna Belarusian political prisoners tracker in September 2025?	Multiple Choice
14.232	Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?	Binary
14.187	What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?	Continuous
13.591	What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?	Continuous
13.583	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
13.574	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
13.236	Will India surpass Germany in GDP by the end of 2025?	Binary
13.209	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi)	Binary
13.164	Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?	Binary
13.155	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
12.952	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
12.621	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
12.487	Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?	Binary
12.214	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
12.079	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
11.834	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
11.388	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
11.370	Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season?	Multiple Choice
11.308	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
10.956	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)	Continuous
10.935	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
10.836	Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?	Binary
10.737	Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?	Binary
10.633	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
10.332	What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ?	Continuous
10.106	Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average?	Binary
10.066	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
9.922	Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026?	Binary
9.798	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
9.730	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
9.678	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
9.403	Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
9.215	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
8.895	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
8.883	How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?	Multiple Choice
8.718	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
8.510	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women)	Continuous
8.468	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
8.251	What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Aug-25)	Continuous
8.077	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
8.005	What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (November 2025)	Continuous
7.935	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
7.855	Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?	Binary
7.427	Will Boeing's total revenue for 2025 be equal to or higher than $85 billion?	Binary
7.210	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men)	Continuous
7.050	What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026?	Continuous
6.753	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Q carbon capture tax credit established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
6.584	Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025?	Binary
6.516	Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?	Binary
6.480	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
6.311	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
5.805	Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025?	Binary
5.739	What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
5.738	Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?	Binary
5.471	How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend?	Continuous
4.800	What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season?	Continuous
4.590	What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections?	Continuous
4.478	Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)	Binary
4.442	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)	Continuous
4.330	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
4.202	How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q3 2025?	Continuous
4.089	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
3.729	Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?	Multiple Choice
3.569	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
3.329	Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?	Binary
3.137	How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025?	Continuous
2.914	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
2.882	How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q4 2025?	Continuous
2.675	Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?	Binary
2.471	What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025?	Continuous
2.443	How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?	Continuous
2.425	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
2.387	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
1.834	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-25)	Continuous
1.732	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
1.679	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
1.639	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
1.561	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
1.495	Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?	Multiple Choice
1.439	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
1.436	Will San Antonio, Texas receive any rain before November 15, 2025?	Binary
0.958	What will the winning time be in the Women's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
0.789	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
0.584	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Oct-25)	Continuous
0.552	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
0.548	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
0.435	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
0.379	Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?	Binary
0.307	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wei Yi)	Binary
0.266	Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season?	Binary
-0.072	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
-0.094	Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?	Binary
-0.442	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
-0.517	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
-0.866	Will Beyond Meat hit $6 a share before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-0.915	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
-1.257	Will the Trump administration attempt to withdraw from key international arms control agreements in 2025?	Binary
-1.597	Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?	Binary
-1.692	Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?	Binary
-1.763	How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?	Continuous
-1.972	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
-2.453	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
-2.466	Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?	Binary
-2.956	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
-3.032	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
-3.279	What percentage of the Project 2025 Tracker will be complete on October 1, 2025?	Continuous
-3.564	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
-3.622	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
-3.790	How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q3 2025?	Continuous
-3.989	What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025?	Continuous
-4.852	Will Burbank, California receive any rain in November 2025?	Binary
-4.854	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-5.289	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-5.532	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-5.636	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser)	Binary
-5.759	Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025?	Binary
-5.929	How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur during September 2025?	Multiple Choice
-5.941	Will any of these listed US federal government officials be out of their position before October 1, 2025?	Binary
-6.735	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
-6.775	Will the US import more shrimp in 2025 than 2024?	Binary
-7.051	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-7.436	Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?	Multiple Choice
-7.645	How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series?	Continuous
-8.581	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-8.861	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
-9.329	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
-9.724	Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-10.440	[Short fuse] Who will win the 2025 NBA Cup?	Multiple Choice
-10.961	How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff?	Multiple Choice
-11.288	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025?	Binary
-12.445	What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on December 14, 2025?	Continuous
-13.572	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-13.803	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
-14.404	Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?	Binary
-14.409	Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-15.138	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser)	Binary
-15.476	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-16.340	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
-16.405	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
-16.512	Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025?	Binary
-16.970	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-17.449	Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?	Binary
-17.456	Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025?	Multiple Choice
-19.159	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Javokhir Sindarov)	Binary
-19.979	Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?	Binary
-20.223	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-20.341	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
-20.391	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
-20.710	How many new energy vehicle sales will BYD report for December 2025?	Continuous
-21.241	Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025?	Binary
-21.246	Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?	Binary
-22.150	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-22.167	Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-23.002	What will happen to the adders to tax credits established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, before 2026?	Multiple Choice
-23.677	Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-24.271	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
-24.753	Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
-24.937	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? (Yes) → Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?	Binary
-25.872	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
-27.529	Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?	Binary
-28.326	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-28.697	Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?	Binary
-28.924	Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?	Binary
-29.733	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
-30.820	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
-32.600	Will Japan's House of Representatives be dissolved before November 1, 2025?	Binary
-32.765	Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?	Binary
-33.775	What will be the result of the vote chess game, IM Levy Rozman Vs. The World?	Multiple Choice
-35.817	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
-37.349	How many days of snow will New York City see between December 11, 2025 and January 10, 2026?	Multiple Choice
-38.194	Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025?	Binary
-38.992	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-40.849	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (CVNA)	Binary
-40.910	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
-41.235	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-41.925	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
-45.142	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-47.691	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-51.933	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
-55.323	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?	Multiple Choice
-55.659	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)	Binary
-55.700	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
-55.879	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
-57.251	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-58.026	Will the US unemployment rate for December 2025 be higher than November 2025?	Binary
-59.215	Will Ghana sign into law "The Proper Human Sexual Rights and Ghanaian Family Values" bill before 2026?	Binary
-63.886	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?	Binary
-65.405	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
-65.425	How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years? (2025)	Continuous
-65.805	Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	Binary
-67.059	Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025?	Binary
-67.133	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (ARES)	Binary
-69.182	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-73.142	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-77.091	What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?	Multiple Choice
-93.349	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-96.272	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
-107.199	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
-113.439	How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?	Multiple Choice
-116.375	Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?	Binary
-138.700	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary