93.448 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
76.004 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
74.350 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
69.235 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
68.568 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
66.072 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
65.117 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
64.793 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
64.582 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
64.268 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
63.300 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
62.653 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
61.364 | Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election? | Multiple Choice |
59.305 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
58.364 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
57.955 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
57.708 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
55.941 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
55.899 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
54.285 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
53.970 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
53.646 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
53.015 | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
52.999 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
50.761 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
50.565 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
50.490 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
49.115 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
48.418 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
47.974 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
47.674 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
47.560 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
46.391 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
45.011 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
43.081 | How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025? | Continuous |
42.796 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
42.502 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
42.488 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
42.379 | Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025? | Binary |
42.141 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
41.688 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
40.678 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
39.971 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
39.892 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
36.608 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
35.603 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
35.440 | Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
35.253 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
34.803 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
33.859 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
33.481 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
32.534 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
32.254 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
32.075 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
31.866 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
28.739 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
27.819 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
27.242 | Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025? | Binary |
26.496 | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
23.924 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
23.792 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
21.298 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
21.075 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
20.374 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
20.005 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
19.567 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
18.708 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
18.566 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
14.574 | How many people will be added to the Viasna Belarusian political prisoners tracker in September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
12.952 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
12.214 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
11.834 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
11.308 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
10.332 | What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ? | Continuous |
8.895 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
8.468 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
6.480 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
5.739 | What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships? | Continuous |
5.471 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
4.590 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections? | Continuous |
4.202 | How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q3 2025? | Continuous |
4.089 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
3.329 | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
2.914 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
2.425 | Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025? | Binary |
2.387 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
1.732 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
1.639 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
1.561 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
1.495 | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
1.439 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
0.958 | What will the winning time be in the Women's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships? | Continuous |
0.552 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
0.548 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
0.266 | Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season? | Binary |
-0.072 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
-0.517 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
-0.915 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
-1.597 | Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025? | Binary |
-2.453 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
-2.466 | Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
-2.956 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
-3.032 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-3.279 | What percentage of the Project 2025 Tracker will be complete on October 1, 2025? | Continuous |
-3.564 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
-3.622 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
-3.790 | How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q3 2025? | Continuous |
-4.854 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
-5.532 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-5.929 | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur during September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-5.941 | Will any of these listed US federal government officials be out of their position before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
-7.051 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
-8.581 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-11.288 | Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025? | Binary |
-13.572 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-15.476 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-16.340 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-17.449 | Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025? | Binary |
-20.223 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-20.391 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
-22.150 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
-22.167 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
-27.529 | Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025? | Binary |
-28.326 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-29.733 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
-30.820 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
-35.817 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-38.194 | Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025? | Binary |
-38.992 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-41.235 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
-41.925 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
-45.142 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-47.691 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-51.933 | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
-55.659 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
-55.700 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
-55.879 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
-57.251 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-67.059 | Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025? | Binary |
-69.182 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-73.142 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-93.349 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-96.272 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
-107.199 | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
-138.700 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |