| 165.486 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United States of America) | Continuous |
| 108.042 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Minions & Monsters) | Continuous |
| 107.826 | How many MPs will Reform UK have on May 7, 2026? | Continuous |
| 105.574 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (India) | Continuous |
| 102.509 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Toy Story 5) | Continuous |
| 102.306 | How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season? | Continuous |
| 99.973 | How many barrels of crude oil will be in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve on April 30, 2026? | Continuous |
| 96.679 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Islamic Republic of Iran) | Continuous |
| 94.892 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 92.610 | Will Bitcoin trade above $120,000 before August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 92.003 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Japan) | Continuous |
| 89.387 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Republic of Korea) | Continuous |
| 88.069 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 87.733 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 83.737 | Will the United States use a nuclear weapon before May 2026? | Binary |
| 83.049 | Which party's candidate will win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 81.907 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 80.191 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 80.182 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on July 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 79.990 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 79.920 | Will gas prices in the US reach a new all-time high before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 79.153 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (China) | Continuous |
| 78.165 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Romania) | Continuous |
| 77.576 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kazakhstan) | Continuous |
| 77.266 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 75.980 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 75.150 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 75.039 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cameroon) | Continuous |
| 74.555 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 74.384 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 73.731 | Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat? | Binary |
| 73.131 | Will Romuald Wadagni win the Benin presidential election in April 2026? | Binary |
| 72.421 | Will Iran and U.S play against each other in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| 71.465 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Uganda) | Continuous |
| 71.382 | Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026? | Binary |
| 70.940 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Honduras) | Continuous |
| 70.772 | Will the UK Parliament approve the target to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 87 per cent by 2040? | Binary |
| 70.643 | Who will be the 2026 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senator from Maine? | Multiple Choice |
| 69.343 | Before May 1, 2026, will the United States offer to purchase Greenland from Denmark? | Binary |
| 68.905 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Canada) | Continuous |
| 68.660 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 68.538 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bhutan) | Continuous |
| 68.313 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.757 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.441 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Türkiye) | Continuous |
| 67.244 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 66.900 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 66.275 | Will the Liberal Party officially nominate Flávio Bolsonaro as its candidate for president of Brazil before August 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 66.268 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Hungary) | Continuous |
| 66.033 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Paraguay) | Continuous |
| 64.680 | Will Jonathan Ross be indicted or charged in the death of Renee Good before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 64.230 | Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 64.195 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Botswana) | Continuous |
| 64.123 | Will Iran's Internet not be "heavily filtered/whitelisted" for most users before May 2026? | Binary |
| 64.055 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 20–26, 2026) | Continuous |
| 63.934 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ghana) | Continuous |
| 63.603 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 63.272 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Myanmar) | Continuous |
| 62.155 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 61.787 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 61.772 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Samuel A. Alito, Jr.) | Binary |
| 61.214 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 13–19, 2026) | Continuous |
| 60.646 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bulgaria) | Continuous |
| 60.349 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 60.267 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Serbia) | Continuous |
| 60.245 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 59.170 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 58.852 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Tajikistan) | Continuous |
| 58.696 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 58.667 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on July 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 58.352 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Israel) | Continuous |
| 57.958 | What will be the day over day percentage change in Bayer's stock price following the Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell decision? | Continuous |
| 57.549 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Brett M. Kavanaugh) | Binary |
| 57.532 | Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close above 30 on more than 5 trading days between April 20, 2026 and May 31, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.329 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Amy Coney Barrett) | Binary |
| 56.393 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Argentina) | Continuous |
| 55.897 | Will Senator John Cornyn avoid elimination in the first round of the Texas Republican primary? | Binary |
| 55.262 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Switzerland) | Continuous |
| 54.888 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 54.884 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (John G. Roberts, Jr.) | Binary |
| 54.575 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 54.522 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 54.220 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Germany) | Continuous |
| 53.760 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cambodia) | Continuous |
| 53.499 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Armenia) | Continuous |
| 53.464 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Dominican Republic) | Continuous |
| 53.439 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 52.837 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 52.834 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 52.520 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ivory Coast) | Continuous |
| 52.444 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 52.143 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 51.942 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 51.145 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 51.049 | Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026? | Binary |
| 50.981 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 50.907 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Clarence Thomas) | Binary |
| 50.904 | Will H.R.6644, the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, become law before July 4, 2026? | Binary |
| 50.649 | Will Swiss voters approve the "No to a Switzerland with 10 million" population cap referendum? | Binary |
| 50.585 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 27–May 3, 2026) | Continuous |
| 50.546 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 50.200 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Binary |
| 50.026 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 49.669 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Australia) | Continuous |
| 49.655 | Will Wagner Moura win the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Binary |
| 49.406 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 6–12, 2026) | Continuous |
| 49.351 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 48.984 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 48.611 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 48.563 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 48.562 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 48.313 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 47.246 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United Arab Emirates) | Continuous |
| 47.195 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bosnia and Herzegovina) | Continuous |
| 47.118 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Colombia) | Continuous |
| 46.731 | How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on June 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 46.638 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Ketanji Brown Jackson) | Binary |
| 46.428 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 46.006 | [Short fuse] Will a Kenyan win the 2026 Boston marathon? | Binary |
| 45.997 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Namibia) | Continuous |
| 45.933 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Latvia) | Continuous |
| 45.585 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Philippines) | Continuous |
| 45.252 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bolivia) | Continuous |
| 45.191 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 44.970 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ukraine) | Continuous |
| 44.874 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Croatia) | Continuous |
| 44.869 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Uruguay) | Continuous |
| 44.837 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 44.696 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.667 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Singapore) | Continuous |
| 44.658 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 9–15, 2026) | Continuous |
| 44.102 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ireland) | Continuous |
| 43.584 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Qatar) | Continuous |
| 43.246 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (El Salvador) | Continuous |
| 42.923 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (South Africa) | Continuous |
| 42.886 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Montenegro) | Continuous |
| 42.300 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 42.273 | Will the UAE engage with 2 or more additional Iranian projectiles (drones or missiles) before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 42.267 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 42.244 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Algeria) | Continuous |
| 42.223 | How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026? | Continuous |
| 42.201 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Slovenia) | Continuous |
| 41.799 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 41.701 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 41.621 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Ecuador) | Continuous |
| 41.379 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on April 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 41.103 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Denmark) | Continuous |
| 40.492 | Will Stanford HAI’s 2026 AI Index report show U.S. private AI investment in 2025 at least 12x China’s? | Binary |
| 40.143 | Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of August 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.825 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Azerbaijan) | Continuous |
| 39.547 | How many confirmed deaths will be attributed to the US-Israel-Iran war over the course of 2026? (30 April 2026) | Continuous |
| 39.545 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.521 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 39.200 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 39.144 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 38.974 | How many confirmed deaths will be attributed to the US-Israel-Iran war over the course of 2026? (30 June 2026) | Continuous |
| 38.928 | Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution condemning the US operation in Venezuela before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 38.718 | Will a ceasefire in the 2026 conflict between Israel and the United States and Iran be announced before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 38.507 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 38.435 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Iraq) | Continuous |
| 38.370 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United Kingdom) | Continuous |
| 37.940 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Costa Rica) | Continuous |
| 37.643 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 37.491 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (New Zealand) | Continuous |
| 37.133 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Sweden) | Continuous |
| 36.991 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais hold that race-conscious districting is unconstitutional? | Binary |
| 36.766 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Hong Kong) | Continuous |
| 36.624 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cuba) | Continuous |
| 36.476 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Georgia) | Continuous |
| 35.964 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 35.842 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Chile) | Continuous |
| 35.674 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 16–22, 2026) | Continuous |
| 35.503 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Vietnam) | Continuous |
| 34.721 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.681 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 34.470 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kosovo) | Continuous |
| 34.422 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 34.414 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Czech Republic) | Continuous |
| 34.278 | How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 34.173 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (France) | Continuous |
| 33.634 | Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "bitcoin" in his State of the Union address on February 24, 2026? | Binary |
| 33.402 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 33.128 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Rwanda) | Continuous |
| 32.056 | Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026? | Binary |
| 31.834 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 31.698 | Will Waymo have a service area of 1,200 square miles before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 31.663 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 31.442 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 30.968 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 30.919 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Tunisia) | Continuous |
| 30.906 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.274 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Mongolia) | Continuous |
| 30.096 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Estonia) | Continuous |
| 29.773 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 23–29, 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.676 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 28.055 | Will any host nation (USA, Mexico or Canada) reach the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup? | Binary |
| 27.533 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Macau) | Continuous |
| 27.487 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Belgium) | Continuous |
| 27.359 | Will the June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for May 2026? | Binary |
| 27.310 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 26.943 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 26.824 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 26.648 | Will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person before April 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 26.522 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 26.479 | Will a bot be #1 in the Metaculus 2026 Baseline Leaderboard on the Ides of March 2026? | Binary |
| 26.196 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 26.162 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 25.703 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Thailand) | Continuous |
| 25.531 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Norway) | Continuous |
| 25.489 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Puerto Rico) | Continuous |
| 25.428 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Mexico) | Continuous |
| 25.137 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| 23.229 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Finland) | Continuous |
| 23.101 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.727 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 22.406 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Binary |
| 21.980 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 21.924 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Albania) | Continuous |
| 21.791 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.492 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Lithuania) | Continuous |
| 21.402 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 21.213 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 21.185 | How many U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.018 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 20.490 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 20.388 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 20.351 | Will the U.S. Congress still be operating under a continuing resolution (CR) on March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 20.328 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Cyprus) | Continuous |
| 20.053 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.818 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.675 | Will any Individual Neutral Athlete (Russian and Belarusian athletes) win any medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| 19.409 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| 19.395 | Will Iran participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| 19.289 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 19.151 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Portugal) | Continuous |
| 19.148 | Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" in his State of the Union address on February 24, 2026? | Binary |
| 19.043 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 18.533 | How many songs will Michael Jackson have on the Spotify Top 30 in the final full week of July? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.486 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.236 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.950 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.942 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Syria) | Continuous |
| 17.354 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period March 20-26, 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.536 | Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.521 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 16.397 | What will be the highest stock price of SpaceX in July 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.040 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.751 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Sri Lanka) | Continuous |
| 15.712 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Saudi Arabia) | Continuous |
| 15.693 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.360 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 14.596 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Pakistan) | Continuous |
| 14.240 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Greece) | Continuous |
| 14.148 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| 13.565 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Palestine) | Continuous |
| 13.333 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 13.306 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Morocco) | Continuous |
| 13.279 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 13.146 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Austria) | Continuous |
| 12.989 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 12.841 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 12.753 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 12.070 | Will the U.S. Senate pass another budget reconciliation bill before July 4, 2026? | Binary |
| 11.808 | Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin speak on the phone with each other before August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 11.394 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Indonesia) | Continuous |
| 11.343 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 10.797 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| 10.580 | Will the U.S. Supreme Court further cut back campaign finance limitations in National Republican Senatorial Committee v. FEC before January 1, 2027? | Binary |
| 10.008 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.983 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Uzbekistan) | Continuous |
| 8.946 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 8.445 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 8.200 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| 8.145 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| 7.909 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 7.700 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.552 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 6.930 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 6.269 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.605 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kenya) | Continuous |
| 5.484 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| 5.402 | Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026? | Binary |
| 4.678 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.992 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 3.713 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Republic of Moldova) | Continuous |
| 3.446 | How concerned will the EU be in March 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.138 | When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible? (US) | Continuous |
| 2.802 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justice will write the majority opinion in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.295 | What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections? | Continuous |
| 2.234 | When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible? (Globally) | Continuous |
| 2.125 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 1.636 | What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026? | Continuous |
| 1.208 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Brazil) | Continuous |
| 1.165 | Which party’s candidate will win the 2026 Saalekreis Landrat runoff election in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.354 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Taiwan) | Continuous |
| -0.019 | Will the United States attempt to occupy or blockade Kharg Island during 2026? | Binary |
| -0.452 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| -0.542 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -1.314 | Will Brent crude oil reach $100 a barrel before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -1.332 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -1.795 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2027? | Binary |
| -1.864 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| -1.870 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -2.115 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.426 | When will Claude Plays Pokemon beat the first Pokémon game? (2026) | Continuous |
| -3.000 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -3.072 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Netherlands) | Continuous |
| -3.241 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on March 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| -3.971 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| -4.070 | Will Brent crude oil reach $90 a barrel before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| -4.332 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Nepal) | Continuous |
| -4.350 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -4.874 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period April 3-April 9, 2026? | Continuous |
| -4.936 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| -5.367 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -5.773 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -6.032 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -6.686 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -6.834 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 30–Apr 5, 2026) | Continuous |
| -7.053 | Will 12 or more oil tankers transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -7.149 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Belarus) | Continuous |
| -7.239 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (North Macedonia) | Continuous |
| -7.366 | Will the United States report any locally acquired New World screwworm infestation (in a human or an animal) before 2027? | Binary |
| -7.694 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -8.921 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| -9.557 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -9.595 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Spain) | Continuous |
| -9.610 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -10.811 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -11.313 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| -11.478 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| -12.462 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -12.809 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| -12.886 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| -13.510 | How many active US drilling rigs will there be for the week ending July 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| -14.185 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| -14.611 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| -15.333 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -16.990 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -17.201 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Poland) | Continuous |
| -17.364 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -17.814 | Will the U.S. Senate pass an Iran war powers resolution before August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -18.112 | Will the United States launch another strike against Islamic State in Nigeria before Christmas 2026? | Binary |
| -18.820 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -19.119 | Before August 2026, will the government of Alberta officially announce a date for an independence referendum? | Binary |
| -19.258 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| -19.480 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -19.916 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| -20.006 | Will Neymar be called up for Brazil in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| -20.577 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -20.646 | Will George Soros be the top Democratic-aligned donor on WaPo's leaderboard with at least 3x the #2 donor as of August 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -21.159 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| -21.269 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| -21.416 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -22.112 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -22.366 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -22.823 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| -24.004 | On July 8, 2026, will Marine Le Pen be ineligible to run in the 2027 French presidential election? | Binary |
| -26.917 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Bangladesh) | Continuous |
| -27.700 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -27.778 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -28.367 | Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026? | Binary |
| -29.388 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -29.507 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| -29.587 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| -30.012 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -30.333 | How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games? | Continuous |
| -30.948 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -32.186 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -32.306 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| -34.346 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Luxembourg) | Continuous |
| -34.986 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -35.950 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Elena Kagan) | Binary |
| -38.472 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| -38.907 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Kyrgyzstan) | Continuous |
| -39.274 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -43.213 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -43.749 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period March 27-April 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -43.878 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -44.507 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Iceland) | Continuous |
| -47.870 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -51.226 | Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026? | Binary |
| -56.615 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Slovakia) | Continuous |
| -59.495 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Peru) | Continuous |
| -63.889 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| -67.106 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Malaysia) | Continuous |
| -70.842 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Neil M. Gorsuch) | Binary |
| -71.616 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| -72.527 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -78.449 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| -80.398 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -84.350 | Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before May 2026? | Binary |
| -97.633 | Will attacks on Israel cause 5+ casualties or a nationwide shelter order before March 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -106.880 | Will any political party or coalition acquire a supermajority in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections? | Binary |
| -110.787 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -113.156 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Turkmenistan) | Continuous |
| -115.743 | Which U.S. Supreme Court Justices will vote in favor of Monsanto in Monsanto Company v. John L. Durnell? (Sonia Sotomayor) | Binary |
| -142.411 | Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100? | Binary |
| -172.720 | Will Saudi Arabia conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -184.269 | Will the United Arab Emirates conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |