129.751 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
86.980 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
78.486 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
75.939 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
74.504 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
72.435 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
70.899 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
68.925 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
68.140 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
67.848 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
66.664 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
66.094 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
64.007 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
62.041 | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
59.848 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
59.349 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
58.896 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
58.717 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
58.059 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
58.002 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
57.793 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
57.108 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
55.515 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
54.734 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
53.810 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
53.525 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
53.481 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
53.336 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
52.228 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
50.859 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
49.576 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
48.924 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
48.755 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
48.310 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
48.081 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
47.197 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
47.171 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
46.574 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
45.735 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
43.287 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
41.835 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
41.262 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
40.070 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
39.372 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
39.357 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
38.943 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
38.854 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
38.597 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
38.380 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
38.086 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
37.335 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
36.640 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
35.227 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
33.667 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
33.626 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
32.811 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
32.723 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
32.589 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
31.819 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
31.558 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
31.195 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
30.808 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
30.732 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
30.237 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
30.174 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
29.422 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
27.861 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
27.838 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
27.066 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
26.456 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
26.440 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
25.574 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
25.574 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
25.274 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
24.916 | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
22.762 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
22.032 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
21.163 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
21.161 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
20.468 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
19.842 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
19.606 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
18.828 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
17.306 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
16.675 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
16.536 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
15.543 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
14.806 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
14.555 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
14.502 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
14.371 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
13.832 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
13.268 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
13.049 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
13.044 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
13.030 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
12.927 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
12.781 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
12.458 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
12.276 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
12.067 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
11.629 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
11.369 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
11.190 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
10.128 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
9.882 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
9.637 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
9.149 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
9.054 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
8.781 | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
8.343 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
7.967 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
7.929 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
7.741 | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
6.585 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
6.223 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
6.223 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
6.198 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
4.555 | Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026? | Binary |
4.023 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
2.139 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
1.825 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
1.649 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
1.457 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
- | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-0.533 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
-4.409 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
-5.293 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
-5.762 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
-7.747 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-7.952 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-8.557 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-9.913 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
-10.389 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-11.296 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-11.508 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-14.456 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
-15.706 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-16.340 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-17.853 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-19.415 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-20.037 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
-21.602 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-22.138 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-26.414 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-26.456 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-39.275 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-41.458 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-51.014 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-56.644 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-76.091 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
-87.546 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-92.249 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-122.035 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-130.842 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-185.722 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-192.359 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
-217.087 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |