DavidNash

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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5340	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
129.751	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
93.044	Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?	Binary
87.787	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
87.342	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
86.980	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
84.633	Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?	Binary
80.754	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
79.768	Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?	Binary
78.486	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
77.470	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
77.362	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
76.347	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
75.939	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
74.725	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
74.504	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
74.065	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
72.435	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
71.902	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
70.899	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
69.573	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
68.925	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
68.140	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
67.848	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
67.747	Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?	Multiple Choice
67.526	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
66.719	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
66.664	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
66.094	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
64.874	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
64.561	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
64.007	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
63.750	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
62.878	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
62.768	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
62.041	Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025?	Binary
61.421	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
60.740	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
60.258	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
59.848	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
59.349	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
58.896	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
58.717	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
58.059	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
58.002	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
57.793	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
57.524	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
57.168	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
57.108	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
56.817	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
56.442	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
55.515	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
54.734	How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?	Multiple Choice
53.810	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
53.722	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
53.525	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
53.481	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
53.336	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
52.957	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
52.488	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)	Binary
52.228	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
52.081	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
51.195	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
50.998	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
50.859	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
49.770	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
49.576	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
49.336	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
49.168	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
48.924	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
48.796	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
48.755	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
48.729	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
48.310	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
48.081	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
47.197	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
47.171	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
46.574	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
45.735	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
45.533	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
43.287	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
41.996	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
41.934	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
41.914	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
41.835	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
41.262	How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?	Continuous
40.070	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
40.043	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
39.372	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
39.357	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
39.312	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
38.943	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
38.854	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
38.597	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
38.380	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
38.086	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
37.758	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
37.335	Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025?	Binary
37.186	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
37.100	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
37.089	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
37.082	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
36.640	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
35.718	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
35.227	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
35.134	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
34.438	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
33.853	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
33.667	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
33.626	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
32.811	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
32.723	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
32.589	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
32.084	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
31.819	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
31.558	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
31.195	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
30.808	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
30.732	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
30.294	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
30.237	Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?	Binary
30.174	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
29.422	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
27.861	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
27.838	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
27.745	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
27.556	Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?	Multiple Choice
27.185	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
27.077	What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ?	Continuous
27.066	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
26.456	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
26.440	What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories?	Continuous
26.189	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
25.957	Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025?	Binary
25.783	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
25.574	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
25.574	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
25.274	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
24.988	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
24.916	How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
24.875	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
23.998	What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
22.762	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
22.032	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
21.790	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
21.338	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
21.163	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
21.161	How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025?	Continuous
20.468	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
19.842	How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?	Multiple Choice
19.606	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
18.828	Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)?	Binary
17.966	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
17.306	When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?	Multiple Choice
16.675	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
16.536	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion)	Binary
16.181	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
16.100	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
15.543	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
14.806	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
14.555	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
14.502	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
14.371	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
13.832	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
13.268	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
13.049	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
13.044	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
13.030	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
12.927	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
12.781	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
12.458	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
12.276	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
12.067	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
11.629	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
11.369	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
11.258	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
11.190	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
10.900	Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election?	Multiple Choice
10.749	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
10.714	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
10.559	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
10.128	What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?	Multiple Choice
9.882	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
9.637	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
9.149	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
9.054	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
8.888	How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur during September 2025?	Multiple Choice
8.781	Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?	Binary
8.669	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
8.591	What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?	Continuous
8.343	Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?	Binary
8.206	Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?	Binary
7.971	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
7.967	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
7.929	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
7.741	Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?	Binary
7.558	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
7.290	Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?	Binary
6.585	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
6.223	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
6.223	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
6.213	Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026?	Binary
6.198	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
5.693	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
5.577	What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections?	Continuous
5.048	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
4.555	Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?	Binary
4.023	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
2.139	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
1.825	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
1.649	What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?	Continuous
1.457	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
1.414	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
-0.533	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
-2.226	What will the winning time be in the Women's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
-4.409	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
-5.293	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
-5.762	Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025?	Binary
-5.863	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-6.152	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-6.915	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025?	Binary
-7.747	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
-7.952	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
-8.557	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
-8.681	Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?	Binary
-9.913	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
-10.389	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
-11.296	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
-11.508	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
-13.337	Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?	Multiple Choice
-14.456	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
-15.706	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
-16.309	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
-16.340	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-17.853	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-18.581	Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-19.415	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
-20.037	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
-21.602	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-22.138	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
-22.759	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
-26.414	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
-26.456	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-29.064	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-37.663	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-38.681	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
-39.275	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
-41.458	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-51.014	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
-52.006	Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?	Binary
-56.644	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-56.809	Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-69.085	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)	Binary
-72.775	Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?	Binary
-76.091	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
-87.546	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-92.249	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
-122.035	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
-130.842	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-134.575	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-185.722	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-192.359	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary
-217.087	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
-255.237	Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	Binary