| 119.371 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Minions & Monsters) | Continuous |
| 116.891 | What will UK Labour Party's 7-poll moving average percent be on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 113.199 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 104.824 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Toy Story 5) | Continuous |
| 103.798 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 98.257 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 95.912 | How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season? | Continuous |
| 94.273 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 93.535 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 93.236 | Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before September 2026? | Binary |
| 93.222 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 93.050 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 91.828 | Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026? | Binary |
| 91.100 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 90.532 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 89.250 | What will be the access status of Claude Fable and Mythos on September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 89.227 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 88.828 | Will the United States provide written notices of withdrawal from the USMCA before September 2026? | Binary |
| 87.669 | Will the Government of Albania or Prime Minister Edi Rama resign before September 2026? | Binary |
| 86.493 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 85.412 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 83.008 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 82.649 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 82.549 | Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026? | Binary |
| 79.407 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 79.185 | Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat? | Binary |
| 79.170 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 77.765 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 77.682 | What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 77.445 | How much will Spider-Man: Brand New Day gross domestically before August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 77.152 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 75.078 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 75.006 | What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 74.639 | How many confirmed cases will the 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak reach? (Sep 1, 2026) | Continuous |
| 74.398 | Will Instructure be subject to another major hack before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 74.002 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (ΑΜΖΝ) | Continuous |
| 73.944 | Which party's candidate will win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.666 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.133 | Will the United States launch an attack against JNIM in Mali during August 2026? | Binary |
| 73.084 | Will Italy's Schengen suspension against Spain be lifted before August 30, 2026? | Binary |
| 72.756 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 72.502 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 70.887 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 70.745 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 70.679 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 69.691 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 69.212 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 68.921 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 68.893 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 68.427 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 67.876 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 67.795 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 67.197 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 66.331 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 66.316 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 65.912 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.120 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 64.970 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 64.595 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 64.278 | Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 63.428 | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 63.341 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 63.015 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 63.005 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 62.637 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 62.120 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 61.439 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 60.765 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 60.261 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 59.287 | Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from South Carolina? | Multiple Choice |
| 58.608 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 58.533 | How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026? | Continuous |
| 58.067 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.824 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 57.496 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.489 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| 56.768 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 55.478 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 55.338 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 55.146 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 53.701 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 53.506 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 53.341 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.850 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 52.403 | [Short fuse] Will a Kenyan win the 2026 Boston marathon? | Binary |
| 52.294 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 52.241 | Will the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool be fully repaired before September 2026? | Binary |
| 52.240 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.600 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 51.093 | Who will win Division 1A in the 2026 World Yo-Yo Contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 50.830 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 49.058 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 48.519 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 48.449 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 48.421 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 48.101 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 47.418 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 47.216 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 46.584 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| 46.384 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 45.862 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 45.451 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 44.867 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 44.400 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 44.202 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 43.956 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 43.827 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 43.402 | What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections? | Continuous |
| 43.311 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 43.172 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 42.806 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 42.614 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 42.352 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 41.540 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 41.499 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 41.494 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.173 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 40.994 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 40.955 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 40.533 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 40.205 | What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026? | Continuous |
| 39.556 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 39.404 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 38.899 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 38.248 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 38.045 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 37.757 | What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026? | Continuous |
| 37.735 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 37.499 | What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 37.398 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.186 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 36.318 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 35.615 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 35.583 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 35.179 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 34.917 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 34.829 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 34.725 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 34.222 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.916 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 33.815 | How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally? | Continuous |
| 33.787 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 33.521 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 32.859 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 32.559 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 32.501 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 32.391 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.319 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 31.922 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 31.584 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 31.461 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| 31.450 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 31.301 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 30.851 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 30.539 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 29.627 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 28.837 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 28.658 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 28.504 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.446 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 28.338 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 28.333 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.286 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 27.759 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 27.659 | Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026? | Binary |
| 27.658 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 27.550 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 26.195 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.035 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 25.979 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 25.714 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 25.685 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 25.561 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 24.749 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 24.255 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 24.168 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 23.637 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 23.506 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 23.261 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.019 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 22.767 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 22.758 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.400 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 22.134 | Will Uber's takeover of Delivery Hero be approved by BaFin before September 2026? | Binary |
| 21.558 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 21.109 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 20.685 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 20.195 | What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.931 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 19.751 | What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.339 | What percentage of the vote will Nigel Farage receive in the Clacton parliamentary by-election in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.337 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.742 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 18.700 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.679 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.118 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.029 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 17.401 | What will be the price of Brent crude on August 28, 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.101 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.079 | What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.946 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 15.904 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 15.505 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.057 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 14.529 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 14.489 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 14.484 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 14.363 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 14.268 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.119 | Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026? | Binary |
| 13.508 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.314 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 12.940 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 12.713 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| 12.569 | When will Claude Plays Pokemon beat the first Pokémon game? (2026) | Continuous |
| 12.499 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 12.488 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.168 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| 12.147 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 11.722 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 11.172 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 10.981 | Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026? | Binary |
| 10.751 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| 10.610 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.474 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 10.335 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.233 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 10.092 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 9.698 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 9.642 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| 9.606 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| 8.975 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 8.133 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 7.948 | When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible? (US) | Continuous |
| 7.390 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 7.236 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 7.121 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 6.966 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 6.929 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 6.833 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 5.074 | Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026? | Binary |
| 4.889 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 4.718 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| 4.026 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| 3.794 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 3.709 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 3.641 | When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible? (Globally) | Continuous |
| 3.113 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 3.067 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 3.046 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 2.591 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 2.437 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 2.428 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 1.975 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 1.892 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 1.590 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 1.159 | What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections? | Continuous |
| 1.007 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| 0.774 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| 0.352 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 0.063 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2027? | Binary |
| -0.847 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -1.074 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -1.252 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -1.430 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.625 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| -2.298 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -3.016 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -3.160 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.067 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -4.721 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -4.820 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -5.159 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -6.496 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| -6.723 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -6.815 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -6.927 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -9.411 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| -9.533 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -9.551 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -10.390 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -10.823 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -12.528 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -13.109 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -13.384 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -14.367 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| -14.879 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -15.124 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| -15.664 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -16.315 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -17.425 | Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026? | Binary |
| -17.446 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| -18.020 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -19.039 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| -19.484 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -20.310 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -25.687 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -26.261 | Will Iceland vote Yes in the 2026 EU negotiations referendum? | Binary |
| -30.055 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -30.961 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -31.282 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -36.533 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -36.909 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -39.681 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -39.910 | Will the United States report any locally acquired New World screwworm infestation (in a human or an animal) before 2027? | Binary |
| -45.235 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -47.707 | Will a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina officially be in place before September 2, 2026? | Binary |
| -54.051 | How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games? | Continuous |
| -55.480 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -59.071 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -62.895 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -70.089 | Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026? | Binary |
| -74.716 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -77.020 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -79.757 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -100.199 | Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -102.371 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -124.292 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -124.772 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -148.663 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| -247.271 | Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100? | Binary |