MaciekK

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2021

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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9068	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
196.069	According to the Virginia Department of Education, how many Virginia school divisions will have "In Person" instructional schedules as of 15 September 2021?	Continuous
136.687	When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?	Continuous
136.006	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's new COVID-19 cases during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
132.417	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's COVID-19 hospitalizations during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
123.748	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	Continuous
121.215	If a minimum corporate tax law is approved at the G20 Conference in July, what will be the minimum corporate tax level applied to all G20 countries?	Continuous
120.230	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
116.764	For the month of May 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
114.115	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
113.419	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	Continuous
112.544	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in August 2021?	Continuous
110.844	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in June 2021?	Continuous
106.955	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in April 2021?	Continuous
105.119	When will 100M people in the US have received at least one dose of COVID vaccine?	Continuous
103.948	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
100.459	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in July 2021?	Continuous
99.636	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
99.037	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
95.474	What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
93.643	What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-04-30?	Continuous
93.597	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
93.015	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	Continuous
91.014	For the month of June 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
89.999	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
89.228	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
87.506	Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?	Binary
87.333	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	Binary
86.706	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
85.854	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	Continuous
85.255	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
85.081	How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?	Continuous
83.755	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	Binary
83.280	Will debris from the Long March 5B core stage cause injuries or property damage?	Binary
82.911	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in May 2021?	Continuous
82.650	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in June 2021?	Continuous
82.266	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	Continuous
81.654	When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19?	Continuous
81.213	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Hispanic Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
81.003	Will medical practices overtake pharmacies in total vaccines administered by channel in Virginia prior to 1 July 2021?	Binary
79.940	What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
79.144	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in June 2021?	Continuous
79.069	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in July 2021?	Continuous
78.972	For the month of August 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
78.171	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for May 2021?	Continuous
77.870	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	Continuous
77.816	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	Continuous
76.583	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
75.908	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	Binary
75.583	Will the 7-day rolling average of COVID vaccine doses administered in the US exceed 3M in 2021?	Binary
75.508	What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?	Continuous
75.473	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
75.331	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
75.310	What will the total retail sales including food services be for August 2021?	Continuous
75.231	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in June 2021?	Continuous
75.069	Will the United States boycott the 2022 Beijing Olympics?	Binary
74.851	What will the largest 7-day average number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK be, by June 1st, 2021	Continuous
74.758	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
74.684	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	Binary
74.572	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	Binary
73.575	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for July 2021?	Continuous
73.565	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in July 2021?	Continuous
73.245	When will most people in England be legally able to meet socially in a group of six in private indoor places?	Continuous
73.116	What will be the % prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 23 May - 05 June 2021?	Continuous
72.923	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	Continuous
72.834	When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
72.758	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	Continuous
70.590	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
70.569	For the month of April 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
70.158	How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by The Economist in 2021?	Continuous
70.127	Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?	Binary
68.806	For the month of July 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
68.540	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
68.526	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	Binary
68.499	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	Binary
68.240	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?	Continuous
68.174	Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021?	Binary
68.017	How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?	Continuous
66.552	Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?	Binary
66.413	What will the total retail sales including food services be for July 2021?	Continuous
66.401	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in April 2021?	Continuous
66.374	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for August 2021?	Continuous
66.069	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for July 2021?	Continuous
66.051	Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
65.604	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	Continuous
65.342	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
65.283	What will the total retail sales including food services be for June 2021?	Continuous
64.947	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	Binary
64.890	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in May 2021?	Continuous
64.824	When will the cumulative number of COVID-19 vaccination doses administered per 100 people exceed 50 in The Netherlands?	Continuous
64.113	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
63.939	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
63.243	By 31 December 2021, will any Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force aircraft enter Taiwan's airspace without authorization?	Binary
62.634	Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?	Binary
62.174	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	Binary
61.089	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
60.475	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on April 1st in the United States?	Continuous
59.977	Short-fuse: Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted on any pending felony charges in connection to the 2020 Kenosha unrest before 2022?	Binary
59.647	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2021?	Continuous
59.640	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	Binary
59.459	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
59.216	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	Binary
58.990	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Australia by the end of 2021?	Continuous
58.600	Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $70 in 2021?	Binary
58.544	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
58.123	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
57.940	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in April 2021?	Continuous
55.762	Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?	Binary
54.084	Short fuse: When will the Suez Canal blockage of March 2021 be cleared?	Continuous
53.178	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States?	Continuous
52.497	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for April 2021?	Continuous
51.420	Will Brazil have a 7-day rolling average above 2,000 COVID-19 deaths before 1 June 2021?	Binary
49.961	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	Binary
49.642	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	Binary
49.593	When will 32 million people in the UK have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	Continuous
49.254	Will at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old before 1 September 2021?	Binary
48.559	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
47.883	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
47.007	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
46.495	When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?	Continuous
46.348	What percentage of Virginia's overall population will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
45.641	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
44.946	[Short-fuse] Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 January 2022?	Binary
44.673	Will restrictions on household mixing be in effect in England on 25 December 2021?	Binary
44.457	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
44.402	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
44.345	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
44.247	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?	Continuous
44.025	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for March 2021?	Continuous
43.412	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	Continuous
42.010	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
41.856	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?	Continuous
41.536	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for March 2021?	Continuous
41.408	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	Continuous
41.389	Will vaccinated American citizens be allowed to enter Canada for discretionary travel by June 1st, 2021?	Binary
41.379	Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?	Binary
41.258	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
41.041	What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
40.040	What will the total retail sales including food services be for May 2021?	Continuous
39.259	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
39.240	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for June 2021?	Continuous
39.169	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	Continuous
39.155	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
38.848	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	Continuous
38.819	Will the question asking whether Scott will mention it on Astral Codex Ten resolve ambiguously?	Binary
37.595	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 7th of January, 2022?	Continuous
36.945	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
36.792	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in July 2021?	Continuous
36.229	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
34.612	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths occur?	Continuous
34.470	[Short-fuse] Before 16 December 2021, will the U.S. reimpose a Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	Binary
33.484	Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?	Binary
32.406	In the March 2021 Knesset election, will Likud win a plurality of seats?	Binary
32.237	Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021?	Binary
32.157	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	Binary
31.290	[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?	Continuous
31.270	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2021 NBA championship?	Binary
30.633	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
30.055	Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?	Binary
28.924	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	Binary
27.958	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
27.537	For the month of March 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
27.093	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?	Binary
26.863	[Short fuse] How many new coronavirus cases will the United States report for the week ending August 14th?	Continuous
26.345	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
26.329	What will be the 7-day rolling average of the % B.1.1.7 in the US on 27 March 2021 (between 21 March 2021 and 27 March 2021)?	Continuous
25.846	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in August 2021?	Continuous
23.648	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	Continuous
23.027	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500?	Continuous
22.971	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	Binary
22.700	When will the U.S. CDC recommend that at least some fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose?	Continuous
22.413	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
21.631	When will the US-EU border reopen?	Continuous
21.536	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for June 2021?	Continuous
20.665	What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
19.141	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	Continuous
19.122	What will be the market capitalization of Robinhood 2 weeks after going public?	Continuous
17.881	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	Binary
17.713	What will the Womens winning 200m time in the 2020 Olympic Final be?	Continuous
17.603	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	Binary
17.252	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 10th of December, 2021?	Continuous
17.127	Will the US have more than 6000 daily COVID-19 hospitalizations (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
16.230	How many successful test flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, complete within 31 days of its first flight attempt?	Continuous
15.921	Will Andrew M. Cuomo still be governor of New York on 31 December 2021?	Binary
15.573	When will the fifth SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
14.141	When will a SpaceX Starship be intact 24 hours after flying?	Continuous
13.685	When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
13.274	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	Binary
12.431	What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021?	Continuous
10.685	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in March 2021?	Continuous
9.595	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for April 2021?	Continuous
8.918	Will the VIX Index reach 15 or below before 9-01-21?	Binary
8.741	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
8.378	When will the third SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
8.354	What percentage of the US will be at least partially vaccinated against COVID-19 on March 1, 2022?	Continuous
6.042	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
5.584	When will there be a verdict in the Derek Chauvin trial?	Continuous
4.885	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for March 2021?	Continuous
4.827	What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2021)	Continuous
4.304	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?	Binary
4.231	When will most people in England be able to meet socially in a group of six in public outdoor places?	Continuous
3.508	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	Binary
3.069	On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "medium"?	Continuous
2.708	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
2.708	Will the Substack Slow Boring exceed 10,000 paid subscribers in 2021?	Binary
2.215	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	Continuous
1.599	Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?	Binary
0.470	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
0.392	What percentage of Virginia’s population will have received a booster dose as of 4 January 2022?	Continuous
0.214	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?	Binary
0.040	Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 February 2022?	Binary
-	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	Binary
-0.323	How many billions of dollars will wildfires in the US in 2021 cost?	Continuous
-0.940	How many million doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
-2.127	Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?	Binary
-2.389	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	Continuous
-3.794	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
-5.053	On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?	Continuous
-6.768	What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?	Continuous
-7.222	Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?	Binary
-7.488	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	Continuous
-7.517	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
-8.215	Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021?	Binary
-12.326	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
-12.934	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	Binary
-15.520	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases occur?	Continuous
-15.819	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	Continuous
-17.148	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-19.251	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	Continuous
-19.392	What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations before 1 March 2022?	Continuous
-23.287	Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021?	Binary
-24.304	Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021?	Binary
-31.876	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	Binary
-31.982	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	Binary
-36.321	What will the total retail sales including food services be for March 2021?	Continuous
-41.299	What will the total retail sales including food services be for April 2021?	Continuous
-42.096	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
-46.227	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
-51.928	What will be this question's comment threads h-index?	Continuous
-54.566	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	Continuous
-55.981	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	Binary
-58.496	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	Continuous
-59.531	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-62.191	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for May 2021?	Continuous
-71.624	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	Binary
-76.954	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries diplomatically boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
-93.840	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	Continuous
-94.883	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?	Continuous
-99.564	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	Binary
-128.833	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for April 2021?	Continuous
-135.984	What will the highest level of annualised core US CPI growth be, in 2021, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data?	Continuous
-155.644	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	Continuous
-182.041	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	Binary
-192.501	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	Continuous
-195.848	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-212.494	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Asian and Pacific Islander Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous