| 127.508 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 124.341 | What will UK Labour Party's 7-poll moving average percent be on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 112.363 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 102.556 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 99.352 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 96.563 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 96.476 | Will the United States provide written notices of withdrawal from the USMCA before September 2026? | Binary |
| 94.187 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 93.721 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 93.486 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 92.327 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 92.058 | Will the Government of Albania or Prime Minister Edi Rama resign before September 2026? | Binary |
| 91.769 | Will Italy's Schengen suspension against Spain be lifted before August 30, 2026? | Binary |
| 91.679 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 91.256 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 90.237 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 88.767 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 88.687 | Will the United States use a nuclear weapon before May 2026? | Binary |
| 87.737 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 87.371 | Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before September 2026? | Binary |
| 86.940 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 86.911 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 85.123 | What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 84.944 | How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season? | Continuous |
| 84.568 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Minions & Monsters) | Continuous |
| 83.059 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 82.970 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| 82.644 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 82.567 | What will be the access status of Claude Fable and Mythos on September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 82.532 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 81.971 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| 81.900 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 81.752 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 81.503 | Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026? | Binary |
| 81.308 | Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 80.287 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 79.724 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| 79.409 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 78.829 | Will the United States launch an attack against JNIM in Mali during August 2026? | Binary |
| 78.649 | Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026? | Binary |
| 78.086 | Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026? | Binary |
| 77.983 | Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 77.965 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 77.587 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (ΑΜΖΝ) | Continuous |
| 76.350 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 75.382 | What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 74.097 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 73.395 | Will Instructure be subject to another major hack before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 72.896 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 72.776 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 72.348 | How much will Spider-Man: Brand New Day gross domestically before August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 72.261 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| 71.793 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 71.697 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 70.663 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 70.412 | Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from South Carolina? | Multiple Choice |
| 69.944 | Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat? | Binary |
| 69.767 | Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Multiple Choice |
| 69.146 | Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026? | Binary |
| 69.042 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 68.877 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 68.171 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 67.045 | Which party's candidate will win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 66.716 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 66.130 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 65.834 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 64.534 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 64.520 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 64.238 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| 64.147 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 63.862 | How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally? | Continuous |
| 63.788 | Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026? | Binary |
| 63.146 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 62.084 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 61.566 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 60.647 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 60.532 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| 60.067 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 59.977 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 59.948 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Toy Story 5) | Continuous |
| 59.725 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 59.000 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 58.883 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 58.683 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 58.538 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 58.177 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 58.135 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 58.019 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 57.896 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 57.656 | Will the Trump administration or a GOP state governor deploy armed officers or troops to a polling or early voting site in 2026? | Binary |
| 57.427 | How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026? | Continuous |
| 57.221 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 56.977 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 56.560 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 56.549 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 56.130 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 55.927 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 55.590 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 54.573 | Who will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize? | Multiple Choice |
| 54.486 | What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026? | Continuous |
| 53.815 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 53.503 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 53.199 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 52.918 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 52.668 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 52.437 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 51.661 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 51.605 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.602 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 51.514 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 51.358 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 51.313 | Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person before October 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 51.135 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 50.732 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 50.319 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 50.284 | What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 50.264 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 50.144 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 50.016 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 49.965 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 49.127 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 48.821 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 48.435 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 48.423 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 47.813 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 47.596 | What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections? | Continuous |
| 47.044 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 46.792 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 46.465 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.408 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 46.320 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 45.357 | Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026? | Binary |
| 45.113 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 43.656 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 43.256 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.733 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 42.580 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 42.545 | Who will win Division 1A in the 2026 World Yo-Yo Contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.177 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| 41.768 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 41.677 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 41.242 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 41.062 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| 40.986 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| 40.589 | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.537 | What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026? | Continuous |
| 40.399 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.830 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.761 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.404 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.003 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 38.916 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 38.858 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 38.262 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 38.175 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 37.728 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 37.614 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 37.321 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 37.168 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 37.150 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 37.033 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 36.971 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 36.790 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 36.660 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 36.532 | Will the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool be fully repaired before September 2026? | Binary |
| 36.465 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 36.150 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 35.669 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| 35.632 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| 35.110 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 35.035 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 34.889 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 34.503 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| 33.624 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 33.216 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 32.802 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| 32.715 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 32.629 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 32.626 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 32.561 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| 32.204 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 32.187 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 31.937 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 31.745 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.724 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 31.648 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 31.556 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 31.494 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| 31.069 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in its Q2 FY2027 earnings release? (Operating expenses (GAAP)) | Continuous |
| 31.052 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.829 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 30.722 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 30.622 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.998 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.766 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 29.741 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 29.684 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 29.630 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 29.582 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.503 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 29.502 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 29.323 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 28.570 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 28.209 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 27.760 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 27.612 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 27.512 | What percentage of the vote will Nigel Farage receive in the Clacton parliamentary by-election in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 27.003 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.997 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Checking code for potential issues) | Continuous |
| 26.973 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 26.840 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| 26.742 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.525 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.376 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 26.353 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 25.760 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 25.665 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| 25.608 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 25.564 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.542 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 24.489 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| 24.362 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 24.244 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| 24.143 | What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026? | Continuous |
| 23.997 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 23.017 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 22.964 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| 22.851 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 22.705 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 22.681 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 22.652 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.005 | What will be the winning margin in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election runoff? | Continuous |
| 21.965 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 21.783 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 21.268 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 21.260 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 20.912 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 20.758 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| 20.470 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 20.411 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 20.261 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.926 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 19.848 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 19.148 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 19.123 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Writing boilerplate, repetitive code) | Continuous |
| 18.827 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| 18.762 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 18.655 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 18.387 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.172 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Improving or optimizing code) | Continuous |
| 17.885 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 17.879 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 17.415 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 17.396 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 17.154 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli election? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.049 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| 16.847 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 16.771 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple) | Continuous |
| 16.767 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.573 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 16.562 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 16.387 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.223 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 15.916 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| 15.860 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 15.614 | What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.097 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 14.799 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 14.767 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 14.754 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 14.356 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 14.311 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 14.279 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 14.232 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.428 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.292 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in its Q2 FY2027 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 13.292 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 24 - Sep 4) | Continuous |
| 13.168 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| 13.127 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Understanding recent code changes) | Continuous |
| 12.561 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| 11.587 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| 11.305 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.907 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 10.705 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.663 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.256 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 9.630 | What will be the price of Brent crude on August 28, 2026? | Continuous |
| 9.601 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 9.532 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| 9.357 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 8.841 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| 8.441 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| 8.382 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI coding will decrease the demand for professional developers? | Continuous |
| 8.285 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| 8.125 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 8.066 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 7.536 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| 6.651 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| 6.080 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| 5.485 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| 5.002 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.786 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| 4.722 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 4.579 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 4.488 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.309 | What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections? | Continuous |
| 3.015 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| 2.760 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 2.745 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| 2.616 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 2.050 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 0.468 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 0.324 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 0.312 | Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026? | Binary |
| 0.085 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -0.105 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -0.376 | What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026? | Continuous |
| -0.464 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| -1.948 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -2.016 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -3.372 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| -3.446 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -3.900 | Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026? | Binary |
| -4.240 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.242 | Will Iceland vote Yes in the 2026 EU negotiations referendum? | Binary |
| -4.517 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -5.527 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| -5.744 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Debugging) | Continuous |
| -5.803 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -6.160 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -6.391 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -7.680 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| -8.414 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| -8.797 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -8.869 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -10.224 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -11.244 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI will eventually fully replace human developers? | Continuous |
| -11.722 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -11.985 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -12.942 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| -13.790 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -16.502 | Will Uber's takeover of Delivery Hero be approved by BaFin before September 2026? | Binary |
| -17.200 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -17.533 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -17.809 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -17.856 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| -18.371 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -18.836 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| -19.118 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -19.292 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -19.325 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -19.562 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -20.542 | Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026? | Binary |
| -20.636 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 7 - Sep 18) | Continuous |
| -24.668 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -24.804 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -25.979 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in its Q2 FY2027 earnings release? (Gross margin (GAAP)) | Continuous |
| -26.163 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -26.752 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -27.699 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| -27.850 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -30.253 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| -32.933 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -34.376 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| -34.418 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| -35.115 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -36.017 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| -36.286 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX) | Continuous |
| -36.973 | How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games? | Continuous |
| -37.004 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -37.332 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| -38.032 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| -39.327 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -41.221 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| -41.649 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Refactoring) | Continuous |
| -43.777 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Aug 10 - Aug 21) | Continuous |
| -45.022 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -47.073 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -47.123 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -49.026 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 20 - May 1) | Continuous |
| -49.344 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -50.507 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -50.911 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -52.222 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| -52.856 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -53.015 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| -55.665 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -61.468 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| -61.552 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -62.715 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -70.129 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| -71.643 | Will a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina officially be in place before September 2, 2026? | Binary |
| -74.190 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -74.320 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -74.403 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -76.251 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -79.188 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7) | Continuous |
| -79.308 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| -80.773 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -81.489 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24) | Continuous |
| -83.217 | What first round vote share will Iliana Iotova win in the 2026 Bulgarian Presidential election? | Continuous |
| -96.890 | Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026? | Binary |
| -99.365 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -108.070 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -110.094 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -117.866 | Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026? | Binary |
| -119.883 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Sep 21 - Oct 2) | Continuous |
| -121.170 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| -138.562 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -152.899 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -154.596 | Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -182.049 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -451.434 | Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100? | Binary |