MaciekK

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2021

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

9.101	Weighted Average Score
Score	Question	Question Type
118.047	When will the US-EU border reopen?	Continuous
103.803	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	Continuous
96.130	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	Continuous
95.600	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's COVID-19 hospitalizations during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
94.652	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?	Continuous
92.389	According to the Virginia Department of Education, how many Virginia school divisions will have "In Person" instructional schedules as of 15 September 2021?	Continuous
92.022	Will at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old before 1 September 2021?	Binary
63.083	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths occur?	Continuous
61.870	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	Continuous
60.240	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	Continuous
59.203	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in April 2021?	Continuous
58.839	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
54.938	Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
54.418	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?	Continuous
51.028	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	Continuous
48.739	What will be the % prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 23 May - 05 June 2021?	Continuous
48.117	When will the cumulative number of COVID-19 vaccination doses administered per 100 people exceed 50 in The Netherlands?	Continuous
48.027	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
47.196	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
46.325	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
45.581	What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?	Continuous
38.629	What will the largest 7-day average number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK be, by June 1st, 2021	Continuous
37.659	When will most people in England be legally able to meet socially in a group of six in private indoor places?	Continuous
36.671	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	Continuous
36.219	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
34.772	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's new COVID-19 cases during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
34.216	How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?	Continuous
32.261	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
31.648	Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021?	Binary
30.470	What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
30.328	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
30.060	Short fuse: When will the Suez Canal blockage of March 2021 be cleared?	Continuous
29.498	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
29.230	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
29.198	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	Binary
29.082	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
27.640	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	Binary
27.328	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
27.139	For the month of June 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
26.873	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
26.775	If a minimum corporate tax law is approved at the G20 Conference in July, what will be the minimum corporate tax level applied to all G20 countries?	Continuous
26.640	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
26.534	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	Binary
26.309	What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-04-30?	Continuous
25.759	When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?	Continuous
25.092	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	Binary
24.593	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
24.307	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in August 2021?	Continuous
23.775	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?	Continuous
23.468	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Hispanic Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
23.412	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
23.039	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	Continuous
22.367	Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?	Binary
21.803	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in April 2021?	Continuous
21.246	When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
21.215	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500?	Continuous
20.760	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
20.497	For the month of May 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
20.003	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	Binary
19.460	What will the Womens winning 200m time in the 2020 Olympic Final be?	Continuous
19.280	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
18.971	When will the U.S. CDC recommend that at least some fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose?	Continuous
18.820	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 10th of December, 2021?	Continuous
18.467	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	Continuous
18.337	When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19?	Continuous
17.410	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	Continuous
17.210	When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?	Continuous
16.138	How many successful test flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, complete within 31 days of its first flight attempt?	Continuous
15.884	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in June 2021?	Continuous
15.797	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	Binary
15.225	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	Binary
15.024	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	Binary
14.584	Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?	Binary
14.110	Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?	Binary
13.998	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	Binary
13.901	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	Binary
13.766	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
13.763	How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?	Continuous
13.727	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 7th of January, 2022?	Continuous
13.675	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
13.091	Will Brazil have a 7-day rolling average above 2,000 COVID-19 deaths before 1 June 2021?	Binary
12.994	Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021?	Binary
12.948	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in June 2021?	Continuous
12.730	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	Continuous
12.640	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
12.578	What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
12.374	Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021?	Binary
12.361	[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?	Continuous
12.308	When will 100M people in the US have received at least one dose of COVID vaccine?	Continuous
11.887	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
11.856	Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?	Binary
11.510	What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021?	Continuous
11.354	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for June 2021?	Continuous
11.304	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in July 2021?	Continuous
11.118	Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $70 in 2021?	Binary
10.954	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for March 2021?	Continuous
10.796	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	Binary
10.750	When will 32 million people in the UK have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	Continuous
10.551	Will medical practices overtake pharmacies in total vaccines administered by channel in Virginia prior to 1 July 2021?	Binary
10.410	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	Binary
10.303	[Short fuse] How many new coronavirus cases will the United States report for the week ending August 14th?	Continuous
10.047	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
10.025	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	Binary
9.906	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases occur?	Continuous
9.540	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in March 2021?	Continuous
9.385	Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?	Binary
9.183	Will the 7-day rolling average of COVID vaccine doses administered in the US exceed 3M in 2021?	Binary
9.088	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
8.913	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
8.804	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Australia by the end of 2021?	Continuous
8.705	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in April 2021?	Continuous
8.704	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on April 1st in the United States?	Continuous
8.677	How many billions of dollars will wildfires in the US in 2021 cost?	Continuous
8.537	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for March 2021?	Continuous
8.364	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for May 2021?	Continuous
8.198	Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?	Binary
8.175	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	Binary
8.167	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
8.024	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
7.989	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
7.909	On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?	Continuous
7.552	For the month of March 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
7.482	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for April 2021?	Continuous
7.290	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in July 2021?	Continuous
6.877	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in June 2021?	Continuous
6.316	By 31 December 2021, will any Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force aircraft enter Taiwan's airspace without authorization?	Binary
6.292	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
6.141	Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?	Binary
5.948	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
5.740	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	Continuous
5.717	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
5.560	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
5.510	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	Binary
5.336	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
5.169	Will restrictions on household mixing be in effect in England on 25 December 2021?	Binary
5.036	Short-fuse: Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted on any pending felony charges in connection to the 2020 Kenosha unrest before 2022?	Binary
4.889	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	Continuous
4.819	What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2021)	Continuous
4.743	Will the United States boycott the 2022 Beijing Olympics?	Binary
4.526	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2021?	Continuous
4.512	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	Binary
4.410	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	Binary
4.361	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in May 2021?	Continuous
4.359	For the month of April 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
4.118	What will the total retail sales including food services be for June 2021?	Continuous
4.092	Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?	Binary
4.035	Will the VIX Index reach 15 or below before 9-01-21?	Binary
4.021	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
3.934	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	Binary
3.851	Will vaccinated American citizens be allowed to enter Canada for discretionary travel by June 1st, 2021?	Binary
3.718	What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations before 1 March 2022?	Continuous
3.633	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
3.627	Will Andrew M. Cuomo still be governor of New York on 31 December 2021?	Binary
3.556	Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021?	Binary
3.365	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	Binary
3.313	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in August 2021?	Continuous
2.959	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States?	Continuous
2.867	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
2.841	Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 February 2022?	Binary
2.790	Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?	Binary
2.680	Will the US have more than 6000 daily COVID-19 hospitalizations (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
2.588	Will the question asking whether Scott will mention it on Astral Codex Ten resolve ambiguously?	Binary
2.369	Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?	Binary
2.309	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
2.294	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
2.272	In the March 2021 Knesset election, will Likud win a plurality of seats?	Binary
2.218	When will the third SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
2.189	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for July 2021?	Continuous
2.020	[Short-fuse] Before 16 December 2021, will the U.S. reimpose a Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	Binary
1.913	What percentage of the US will be at least partially vaccinated against COVID-19 on March 1, 2022?	Continuous
1.799	When will there be a verdict in the Derek Chauvin trial?	Continuous
1.763	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for May 2021?	Continuous
1.333	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?	Binary
1.319	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	Binary
1.237	When will most people in England be able to meet socially in a group of six in public outdoor places?	Continuous
1.148	On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "medium"?	Continuous
1.134	Will debris from the Long March 5B core stage cause injuries or property damage?	Binary
1.099	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	Continuous
1.011	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
0.809	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
0.778	[Short-fuse] Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 January 2022?	Binary
0.610	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
0.350	When will a SpaceX Starship be intact 24 hours after flying?	Continuous
0.315	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	Binary
0.308	Will the Substack Slow Boring exceed 10,000 paid subscribers in 2021?	Binary
0.212	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
0.167	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	Continuous
0.088	What percentage of Virginia’s population will have received a booster dose as of 4 January 2022?	Continuous
0.083	Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?	Binary
0.007	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?	Binary
-0.008	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	Continuous
-0.083	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
-0.567	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	Continuous
-0.688	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in June 2021?	Continuous
-0.718	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?	Binary
-1.083	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-1.389	For the month of August 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
-1.673	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	Binary
-1.767	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for July 2021?	Continuous
-1.788	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in May 2021?	Continuous
-1.961	When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
-2.396	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	Binary
-3.101	What will be the market capitalization of Robinhood 2 weeks after going public?	Continuous
-3.513	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for April 2021?	Continuous
-3.640	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in July 2021?	Continuous
-3.770	What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
-3.921	When will the fifth SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
-4.524	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	Binary
-5.162	Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021?	Binary
-5.363	What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
-5.460	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2021 NBA championship?	Binary
-5.754	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	Continuous
-5.833	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	Continuous
-6.010	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-6.180	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for March 2021?	Continuous
-6.793	For the month of July 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
-6.916	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?	Continuous
-8.349	How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by The Economist in 2021?	Continuous
-8.609	How many million doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
-8.818	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	Binary
-10.163	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for June 2021?	Continuous
-10.572	What will be the 7-day rolling average of the % B.1.1.7 in the US on 27 March 2021 (between 21 March 2021 and 27 March 2021)?	Continuous
-10.573	What will the total retail sales including food services be for August 2021?	Continuous
-10.585	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in July 2021?	Continuous
-11.055	What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?	Continuous
-11.914	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	Continuous
-12.329	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	Continuous
-12.841	What percentage of Virginia's overall population will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
-13.041	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-13.085	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	Continuous
-13.105	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
-14.844	What will be this question's comment threads h-index?	Continuous
-15.102	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	Binary
-15.897	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries diplomatically boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
-16.206	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	Binary
-16.781	What will the highest level of annualised core US CPI growth be, in 2021, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data?	Continuous
-18.325	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	Continuous
-18.629	What will the total retail sales including food services be for July 2021?	Continuous
-20.222	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	Binary
-22.097	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
-23.289	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for August 2021?	Continuous
-23.726	What will the total retail sales including food services be for May 2021?	Continuous
-25.931	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for April 2021?	Continuous
-30.217	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
-32.596	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-34.635	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	Continuous
-40.553	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
-42.054	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-46.229	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	Continuous
-48.533	What will the total retail sales including food services be for March 2021?	Continuous
-58.027	What will the total retail sales including food services be for April 2021?	Continuous
-62.585	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	Continuous
-72.419	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	Continuous
-101.895	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-104.469	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Asian and Pacific Islander Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous