| 95.662 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 94.564 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 91.782 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 91.726 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 89.911 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 88.894 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.692 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 88.215 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 85.886 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 84.065 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 82.900 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 82.551 | Will the United States use a nuclear weapon before May 2026? | Binary |
| 79.442 | Will gas prices in the US reach a new all-time high before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 75.056 | Will Wagner Moura win the Academy Award for Best Actor at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Binary |
| 74.575 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.450 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 69.037 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 68.518 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.109 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 59.765 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 58.204 | Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 57.526 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 56.405 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 55.489 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 53.898 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 53.162 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.077 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 51.606 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 49.944 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.456 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 46.272 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 44.623 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 43.697 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 43.508 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| 43.259 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 43.151 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.020 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| 39.490 | Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026? | Binary |
| 39.245 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 37.379 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 37.274 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 37.238 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.774 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 35.448 | Will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person before April 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 32.203 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 31.931 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| 31.762 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 31.418 | Will a ceasefire in the 2026 conflict between Israel and the United States and Iran be announced before March 15, 2026? | Binary |
| 30.518 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.539 | Will Senator John Cornyn avoid elimination in the first round of the Texas Republican primary? | Binary |
| 29.050 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 28.152 | Who will win the 2026 Texas Democratic primary for US Senate? | Multiple Choice |
| 27.102 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 25.937 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 25.823 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 24.492 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.180 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 22.855 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 22.387 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 21.515 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| 20.804 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 19.355 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 18.295 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.003 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.924 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 16.255 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 15.309 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 15.009 | Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026? | Binary |
| 13.971 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.253 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.234 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| 7.354 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 5.595 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| 3.826 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 3.326 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| 1.664 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 1.316 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 0.685 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| -0.030 | Will the United States attempt to occupy or blockade Kharg Island during 2026? | Binary |
| -2.091 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| -2.137 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.405 | Will any political party or coalition acquire a supermajority in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections? | Binary |
| -2.971 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| -3.262 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -5.070 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| -5.307 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -6.255 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -6.779 | Will any Individual Neutral Athlete (Russian and Belarusian athletes) win any medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| -7.431 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.264 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| -9.598 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -10.925 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| -12.579 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -15.228 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| -17.085 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| -17.955 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| -20.008 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -22.959 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -26.712 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -32.828 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| -33.363 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| -33.706 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| -33.972 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -40.871 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -42.549 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| -45.296 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -47.685 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -50.699 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -52.119 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -54.223 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -64.469 | Who will Donald Trump endorse in the Texas Republican US Senate runoff: John Cornyn or Ken Paxton? | Multiple Choice |
| -65.926 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -69.382 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| -116.816 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -118.559 | Which party will win the second highest number of seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? | Multiple Choice |
| -161.589 | Will Saudi Arabia conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -195.473 | Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District? | Multiple Choice |
| -247.439 | Who will win the Achievement in Casting Oscar at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| -315.724 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -367.058 | Will the United Arab Emirates conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |