| 154.190 | 98.1% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? (Yes) → Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 132.548 | 92.8% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
| 126.946 | 91.7% | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| 125.611 | 98.0% | Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF? | Binary |
| 125.155 | 99.1% | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
| 124.239 | 100.0% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 119.147 | 91.6% | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 119.121 | 98.8% | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 119.060 | 95.8% | Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025? | Binary |
| 118.945 | 99.4% | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 117.122 | 98.7% | Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025? | Binary |
| 114.464 | 94.3% | Will Tampa, Florida hit 100°F in August 2025? | Binary |
| 111.934 | 99.7% | Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 106.169 | 96.3% | [Short Fuse] Will Donald Trump win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize? | Binary |
| 105.629 | 92.6% | When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown? | Continuous |
| 104.451 | 98.8% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 103.824 | 99.6% | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 103.410 | 98.5% | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
| 102.388 | 98.0% | Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025? | Binary |
| 99.594 | 92.1% | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 98.441 | 99.2% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 95.511 | 95.5% | Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025? | Binary |
| 95.018 | 81.1% | What will be the total domestic box office in the US & Canada during 2025? | Continuous |
| 92.861 | 99.1% | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
| 92.082 | 95.7% | What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025? | Continuous |
| 89.917 | 99.2% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 89.427 | 99.4% | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 89.168 | 99.8% | Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.173 | 96.1% | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
| 87.485 | 98.1% | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 84.348 | 99.3% | What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 82.351 | 99.3% | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
| 82.096 | 84.6% | Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 80.542 | 98.3% | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
| 78.995 | 99.5% | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 78.471 | 99.3% | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 78.411 | 96.6% | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
| 77.147 | 97.9% | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
| 77.053 | 98.4% | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 76.284 | 99.4% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.847 | 99.7% | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 72.952 | 99.4% | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 72.763 | 96.9% | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 72.534 | 98.8% | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 72.411 | 96.9% | What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 72.275 | 99.9% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 71.998 | 99.6% | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 71.542 | 99.6% | Will the US import more shrimp in 2025 than 2024? | Binary |
| 70.000 | 98.4% | Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025? | Binary |
| 69.689 | 98.7% | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
| 69.662 | 99.6% | What percentage of the Project 2025 Tracker will be complete on October 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 68.444 | 97.7% | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.550 | 97.5% | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.532 | 99.9% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 67.261 | 96.1% | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 66.833 | 99.3% | What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025? | Continuous |
| 66.672 | 99.2% | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.720 | 99.0% | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
| 65.500 | 96.9% | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| 64.867 | 93.0% | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
| 64.733 | 100.0% | What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 63.661 | 93.0% | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
| 63.397 | 99.8% | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on December 14, 2025? | Continuous |
| 62.953 | 98.1% | How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 62.930 | 79.8% | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 62.685 | 95.9% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 62.407 | 96.6% | How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 62.293 | 97.2% | Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025? | Binary |
| 61.962 | 99.5% | Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.772 | 74.2% | Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.278 | 98.9% | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 59.225 | 88.0% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Turkiye) | Binary |
| 59.108 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wei Yi) | Binary |
| 58.964 | 99.2% | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 58.546 | 97.4% | [Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025? | Binary |
| 57.981 | 99.2% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 57.978 | 95.5% | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.919 | 97.8% | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.362 | 93.7% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 56.665 | 100.0% | In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released? | Multiple Choice |
| 56.631 | 93.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 56.162 | 98.3% | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 55.891 | 99.3% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Europa League? | Multiple Choice |
| 54.719 | 98.3% | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
| 53.792 | 93.8% | Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026? | Binary |
| 53.517 | 99.1% | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.457 | 98.0% | Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 52.330 | 93.2% | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.144 | 99.2% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 52.137 | 96.3% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 51.408 | 100.0% | Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.135 | 98.1% | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
| 50.134 | 99.5% | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 49.829 | 98.8% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 49.334 | 91.6% | Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 49.142 | 98.3% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| 48.660 | 99.7% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 48.115 | 96.8% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.692 | 98.8% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 47.617 | 97.9% | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
| 46.972 | 95.6% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 46.377 | 99.4% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 46.188 | 70.7% | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 45.873 | 95.8% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 45.822 | 83.7% | Will the UN Security Council reauthorize the UNIFIL mission at the next UNIFIL review meeting in August? | Binary |
| 45.500 | 99.9% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 45.172 | 96.7% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 45.138 | 99.1% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| 45.060 | 96.3% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 45.002 | 100.0% | What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 44.706 | 97.4% | How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.361 | 84.5% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 43.393 | 96.2% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 42.911 | 99.6% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 42.742 | 66.9% | Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School? | Binary |
| 42.287 | 97.2% | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
| 42.169 | 96.3% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 42.123 | 99.2% | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 41.988 | 96.2% | How many people will be added to the Viasna Belarusian political prisoners tracker in September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.954 | 91.3% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Lebanon) | Binary |
| 41.782 | 51.7% | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Oct-25) | Continuous |
| 41.635 | 92.4% | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 41.431 | 93.5% | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
| 41.066 | 99.5% | What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.036 | 63.8% | Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 41.021 | 97.1% | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 40.951 | 96.8% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 40.944 | 98.9% | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.849 | 95.7% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 40.795 | 99.4% | Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025? | Binary |
| 40.791 | 98.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 40.530 | 90.3% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
| 40.362 | 99.9% | What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025? | Continuous |
| 40.321 | 97.3% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 40.308 | 99.9% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.802 | 95.3% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
| 39.596 | 97.9% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 39.399 | 98.0% | Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 39.251 | 99.2% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 38.844 | 92.9% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
| 37.863 | 98.7% | Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026? | Binary |
| 37.574 | 96.9% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 37.147 | 99.3% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 37.120 | 99.4% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 36.910 | 93.1% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 36.346 | 99.7% | Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.327 | 99.1% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 36.101 | 99.2% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 35.779 | 94.0% | [Short fuse] Who will win the 2025 NBA Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 35.353 | 93.9% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| 35.227 | 99.3% | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 35.032 | 99.9% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.768 | 98.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 34.722 | 81.0% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
| 34.656 | 99.5% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 34.474 | 97.8% | Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.147 | 81.3% | Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final? | Binary |
| 34.124 | 99.9% | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 34.088 | 97.9% | [Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election? | Binary |
| 34.084 | 98.8% | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.068 | 25.0% | When will Canada replace Justin Trudeau with a new Prime minister? | Continuous |
| 33.977 | 99.4% | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.766 | 84.5% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 33.731 | 96.5% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
| 33.625 | 94.3% | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.604 | 96.2% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 33.531 | 24.2% | Will any of these listed US federal government officials be out of their position before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.390 | 100.0% | When will Claude Plays Pokemon beat the first Pokémon game? | Continuous |
| 33.082 | 99.8% | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.806 | 100.0% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 32.777 | 99.2% | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| 32.448 | 70.0% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jul-25) | Continuous |
| 32.372 | 95.3% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 32.272 | 98.9% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 31.841 | 97.2% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 31.335 | 99.2% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 31.154 | 96.9% | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
| 31.125 | 91.3% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 31.022 | 95.6% | How many days of snow will New York City see between December 11, 2025 and January 10, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.954 | 100.0% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.900 | 91.3% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 30.623 | 99.5% | Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| 30.495 | 95.0% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 30.369 | 92.3% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.245 | 73.1% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 30.239 | 98.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
| 30.187 | 95.9% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 30.154 | 93.7% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 30.024 | 99.9% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 29.990 | 93.6% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 29.981 | 99.9% | When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.882 | 100.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.771 | 99.7% | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| 29.666 | 56.5% | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.410 | 88.2% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 29.270 | 98.6% | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.184 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara) | Binary |
| 29.011 | 99.9% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.993 | 97.9% | What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.846 | 98.6% | Who will be the next President of Romania in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.636 | 81.9% | Who will win the 2025 Goldsmith Prize for Investigative Reporting? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.222 | 99.2% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 28.215 | 99.8% | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 28.014 | 98.9% | When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine? | Continuous |
| 27.902 | 100.0% | Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026? | Binary |
| 27.729 | 98.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 27.682 | 98.4% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 27.616 | 98.0% | Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 27.287 | 87.1% | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 27.032 | 99.6% | Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List? | Continuous |
| 27.012 | 97.9% | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 27.010 | 96.7% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 26.926 | 98.4% | Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.831 | 93.7% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 26.576 | 56.6% | What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire? | Continuous |
| 26.569 | 94.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (DeepSeek) | Binary |
| 26.503 | 98.9% | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.362 | 99.9% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| 26.340 | 72.8% | Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 26.272 | 99.8% | What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season? | Continuous |
| 26.209 | 85.2% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 26.184 | 97.8% | Will the Trump administration attempt to withdraw from key international arms control agreements in 2025? | Binary |
| 26.168 | 95.8% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 26.038 | 75.1% | Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 25.839 | 98.2% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 25.739 | 93.3% | How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025? | Continuous |
| 25.662 | 99.3% | Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.558 | 99.8% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 25.244 | 98.7% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| 24.985 | 97.3% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 24.974 | 73.0% | What will happen to the adders to tax credits established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.720 | 83.8% | Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026? | Binary |
| 24.637 | 100.0% | How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 24.604 | 99.8% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (United States) | Binary |
| 24.540 | 99.7% | How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025? | Continuous |
| 24.521 | 95.8% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 24.454 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast) | Binary |
| 24.437 | 99.8% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.415 | 99.9% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.398 | 95.5% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 24.128 | 88.3% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 24.119 | 98.0% | Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 24.101 | 98.0% | Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 23.909 | 93.9% | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 23.600 | 95.2% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| 23.499 | 95.1% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.709 | 39.9% | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 22.587 | 98.9% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 22.561 | 90.5% | Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.531 | 100.0% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 22.293 | 99.9% | How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in November 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.230 | 99.8% | Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.169 | 97.1% | Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 21.900 | 88.2% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 21.890 | 96.5% | Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)? | Binary |
| 21.617 | 94.6% | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
| 21.363 | 95.2% | What will be the global year-over-year change in seated diners reported by OpenTable for the week ending January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.333 | 73.3% | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.317 | 98.8% | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.131 | 98.5% | Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.935 | 56.6% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 20.727 | 38.9% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Nov-25) | Continuous |
| 20.615 | 83.6% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 20.527 | 93.6% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 20.338 | 98.1% | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| 20.274 | 55.7% | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections? | Continuous |
| 20.050 | 99.7% | How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.866 | 90.9% | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
| 19.708 | 99.3% | Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.405 | 98.7% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 19.385 | 99.8% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.096 | 92.4% | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
| 19.087 | 99.2% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 19.039 | 97.5% | Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.030 | 94.4% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 19.004 | 95.9% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 18.924 | 93.8% | What percent of Americans will hold a favorable view of China per the Pew Research Center's 2025 annual poll? | Continuous |
| 18.898 | 99.9% | Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025? | Binary |
| 18.517 | 98.8% | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
| 18.465 | 27.1% | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.335 | 98.8% | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.292 | 99.2% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 18.274 | 99.7% | Will Chegg file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 18.217 | 95.2% | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 18.149 | 94.2% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
| 18.121 | 99.6% | Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.855 | 94.9% | When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.703 | 96.3% | How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.685 | 99.0% | How many confirmed mpox cases for the following years (2025+)? (2025) | Continuous |
| 17.676 | 97.8% | Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 17.441 | 99.8% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| 17.411 | 82.0% | Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 17.400 | 98.1% | Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.352 | 98.4% | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
| 17.329 | 98.6% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 17.246 | 99.1% | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.160 | 96.5% | Will the Dutch unemployment rate rise above 5% in any month of 2025? | Binary |
| 17.143 | 96.1% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 17.110 | 63.0% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 17.050 | 95.9% | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.952 | 98.1% | Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026? | Binary |
| 16.906 | 63.0% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 16.886 | 94.0% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 16.529 | 97.1% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.396 | 99.8% | Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025? | Binary |
| 16.287 | 98.0% | Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise? | Binary |
| 16.054 | 49.3% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jun-25) | Continuous |
| 16.037 | 19.5% | How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.898 | 97.6% | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.682 | 73.9% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
| 15.544 | 93.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 15.469 | 97.3% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 15.452 | 95.4% | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.247 | 79.3% | Will resident doctors in England receive a further pay increase before 2026? | Binary |
| 15.176 | 98.5% | Will Japan's House of Representatives be dissolved before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.881 | 99.7% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.867 | 99.9% | Will India surpass Germany in GDP by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 14.817 | 77.0% | Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.801 | 98.0% | Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.557 | 99.8% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.543 | 95.1% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| 14.310 | 98.6% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| 14.240 | 95.6% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
| 14.238 | 93.5% | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
| 14.118 | 99.1% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.076 | 97.8% | Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average? | Binary |
| 13.998 | 86.9% | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur during September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.914 | 93.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 13.823 | 96.7% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 13.803 | 79.4% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 13.754 | 80.8% | What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships? | Continuous |
| 13.646 | 99.4% | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
| 13.427 | 63.4% | Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025? | Binary |
| 13.287 | 56.6% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
| 13.278 | 99.8% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Peru) | Binary |
| 13.267 | 99.8% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.199 | 99.7% | Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 13.066 | 98.9% | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.051 | 71.3% | [Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.028 | 91.3% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 13.007 | 99.0% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 12.885 | 45.1% | Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.836 | 97.9% | Who will win the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.770 | 97.3% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 12.658 | 95.8% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 12.446 | 99.8% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 12.258 | 61.5% | Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 12.052 | 97.7% | Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023? | Binary |
| 11.988 | 93.4% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 11.966 | 75.6% | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 11.949 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
| 11.948 | 92.8% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.912 | 99.7% | Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.833 | 98.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 11.750 | 53.3% | Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 11.745 | 95.4% | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.657 | 40.1% | When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Winners announced!) | Continuous |
| 11.641 | 95.1% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| 11.519 | 88.3% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 11.465 | 96.3% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 11.402 | 99.0% | What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.401 | 97.9% | How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.209 | 99.8% | Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.180 | 98.0% | Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 11.174 | 82.8% | Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.063 | 11.9% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 11.057 | 94.1% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| 11.036 | 98.7% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 10.987 | 95.8% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 10.966 | 74.8% | Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026? | Binary |
| 10.910 | 98.7% | Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians? | Binary |
| 10.685 | 99.1% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men) | Continuous |
| 10.655 | 18.3% | When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown? | Continuous |
| 10.515 | 98.7% | Will Ukraine reduce the minimum age for compulsory military service before 2026? | Binary |
| 10.512 | 9.6% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 10.474 | 91.3% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 10.393 | 85.2% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 10.344 | 95.4% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 10.236 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Matt Murphy) | Binary |
| 10.132 | 99.6% | Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.067 | 48.7% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 10.064 | 99.1% | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.950 | 95.3% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 9.895 | 99.8% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December) | Continuous |
| 9.885 | 91.3% | Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026? | Binary |
| 9.792 | 69.1% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 9.680 | 93.8% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 9.614 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 9.506 | 100.0% | Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 9.467 | 98.5% | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.449 | 71.2% | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 9.260 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 9.162 | 96.8% | Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.159 | 96.4% | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.144 | 98.2% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 9.083 | 95.5% | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.040 | 12.3% | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| 9.001 | 98.0% | Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector? | Binary |
| 8.901 | 69.4% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (CVNA) | Binary |
| 8.709 | 78.6% | Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.571 | 99.7% | Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.529 | 63.8% | Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.502 | 99.1% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| 8.457 | 99.8% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 8.378 | 99.4% | Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.323 | 99.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 8.048 | 88.4% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 7.950 | 99.7% | Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.886 | 95.9% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 7.612 | 72.8% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (ARES) | Binary |
| 7.540 | 99.8% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 7.268 | 91.4% | When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? | Continuous |
| 7.221 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (R Praggnanandhaa) | Binary |
| 7.215 | 97.9% | Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.185 | 95.3% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 7.086 | 93.3% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 7.075 | 39.4% | Will Burbank, California receive any rain in November 2025? | Binary |
| 6.985 | 98.0% | Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 6.965 | 98.0% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.795 | 97.8% | Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025? | Binary |
| 6.545 | 10.5% | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.531 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 6.484 | 95.0% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 6.452 | 96.7% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 6.450 | 87.5% | [Short fuse] Will 4 million or more people participate in 'No Kings' rallies in the United States on June 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.385 | 95.0% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 6.329 | 72.7% | In which of the following years will Finland be ranked as the happiest country by the World Happiness Report? (2025) | Binary |
| 6.256 | 99.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 6.224 | 95.5% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 6.062 | 56.6% | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.037 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 6.016 | 99.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 6.013 | 36.6% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| 5.978 | 80.7% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 5.869 | 72.1% | When will the Myanmar military junta collapse? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.644 | 88.2% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 5.542 | 83.9% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.362 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Tom Caulfield) | Binary |
| 5.345 | 54.2% | Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.246 | 98.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 5.211 | 22.9% | Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| 5.133 | 98.2% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| 5.110 | 23.4% | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
| 5.032 | 95.6% | Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.022 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast) | Binary |
| 4.914 | 95.6% | How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week? | Continuous |
| 4.890 | 99.7% | What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 4.877 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara) | Binary |
| 4.865 | 97.3% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 4.863 | 17.0% | Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.663 | 99.8% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (September 2025) | Continuous |
| 4.656 | 92.0% | Will the US unemployment rate for December 2025 be higher than November 2025? | Binary |
| 4.635 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls) | Binary |
| 4.553 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 4.518 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 4.387 | 98.0% | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Binary |
| 4.272 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 4.127 | 69.1% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 4.096 | 98.3% | Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.008 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Shakhriyar Mamedyarov) | Binary |
| 4.003 | 99.7% | Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 3.967 | 16.8% | Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.946 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 3.913 | 93.4% | Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.912 | 99.1% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women) | Continuous |
| 3.856 | 99.6% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.790 | 48.6% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 3.774 | 95.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 3.709 | 96.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 3.697 | 43.0% | Who Will be President of Zimbabwe on January 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.508 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Aravindh Chithambaram) | Binary |
| 3.481 | 18.0% | How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (September 2025) | Continuous |
| 3.478 | 95.3% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 3.398 | 41.4% | Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.318 | 98.4% | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 3.235 | 98.4% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 3.186 | 99.9% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.028 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Mark Liu) | Binary |
| 3.028 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Steve Mollenkopf) | Binary |
| 3.028 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Kirk Skaugen) | Binary |
| 3.028 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Stacy Smith) | Binary |
| 3.028 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (David Zinsner) | Binary |
| 3.028 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Michelle Johnston Holthaus) | Binary |
| 3.021 | 92.8% | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.014 | 17.5% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 3.003 | 69.0% | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Aug-25) | Continuous |
| 2.998 | 88.6% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
| 2.953 | 99.9% | Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.890 | 69.1% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 2.860 | 5.8% | Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.827 | 94.2% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| 2.694 | 98.9% | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.636 | 99.5% | Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.558 | 28.3% | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.526 | 5.1% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Sep-25) | Continuous |
| 2.487 | 96.4% | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.334 | 95.1% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| 2.314 | 93.6% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 2.275 | 97.7% | Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.190 | 98.6% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| 2.136 | 45.8% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.914 | 95.3% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 1.883 | 48.7% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 1.764 | 95.3% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 1.745 | 97.7% | Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025? | Binary |
| 1.650 | 96.7% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 1.559 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 1.545 | 7.5% | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
| 1.478 | 52.2% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 1.394 | 93.6% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 1.387 | 99.4% | Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard? | Continuous |
| 1.371 | 98.6% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| 1.345 | 35.3% | Will a new bill amending the climate provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act become law in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.331 | 69.1% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 1.308 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami) | Binary |
| 1.267 | 98.7% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 1.162 | 99.8% | Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025? | Binary |
| 1.153 | 7.9% | When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility? | Continuous |
| 1.063 | 6.9% | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.031 | 95.2% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| 0.892 | 10.4% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 0.872 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés) | Binary |
| 0.822 | 99.7% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Aug-25) | Continuous |
| 0.772 | 66.0% | Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.765 | 94.4% | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| 0.745 | 6.6% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
| 0.659 | 7.8% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.644 | 39.9% | How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (December 2025) | Continuous |
| 0.638 | 0.8% | Will Beyond Meat hit $6 a share before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 0.531 | 49.2% | Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.531 | 95.3% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| 0.464 | 56.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
| 0.460 | 97.4% | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
| 0.451 | 99.4% | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.443 | 88.4% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.435 | 99.6% | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.428 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés) | Binary |
| 0.390 | 100.0% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 0.348 | 33.3% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (July 2025) | Continuous |
| 0.342 | 96.6% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.338 | 48.7% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 0.322 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Elon Musk) | Binary |
| 0.321 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami) | Binary |
| 0.310 | 56.5% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 0.275 | 88.7% | Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.270 | 0.6% | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.262 | 99.2% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 0.180 | 20.2% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (June 2025) | Continuous |
| 0.141 | 1.5% | Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 0.032 | 5.1% | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.023 | 0.1% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill impose new work requirements on Medicaid recipients? | Binary |
| 0.013 | 51.5% | Will Bangladesh's former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina return from exile before the following years? (Before 2026) | Binary |
| - | 14.1% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (November 2025) | Continuous |
| - | 31.2% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (December 2025) | Continuous |
| - | 95.1% | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Sep-25) | Continuous |
| - | 99.1% | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Oct-25) | Continuous |
| -0.000 | 0.1% | Will Beyond Meat hit $3 a share before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -0.028 | 99.5% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (August 2025) | Continuous |
| -0.054 | 99.5% | Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025? | Binary |
| -0.222 | 27.0% | What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 11, 2025) | Continuous |
| -0.326 | 1.0% | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
| -0.340 | 81.2% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-25) | Continuous |
| -0.406 | 3.2% | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (October 2025) | Continuous |
| -0.424 | 100.0% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| -0.494 | 99.8% | What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Continuous |
| -0.521 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi) | Binary |
| -0.525 | 99.2% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| -0.771 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser) | Binary |
| -0.772 | 53.1% | What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 18, 2025) | Continuous |
| -0.790 | 48.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -0.884 | 94.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| -0.903 | 96.2% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -0.928 | 98.7% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| -1.003 | 50.0% | What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Jul-25) | Continuous |
| -1.075 | 100.0% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -1.584 | 98.7% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| -1.878 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| -1.912 | 98.6% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| -1.988 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls) | Binary |
| -1.989 | 98.7% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| -2.032 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Johny Srouji) | Binary |
| -2.040 | 90.5% | How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q3 2025? | Continuous |
| -2.087 | 48.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -2.110 | 48.3% | Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025? | Binary |
| -2.118 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei) | Binary |
| -2.190 | 98.7% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -2.262 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| -2.301 | 95.1% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| -2.396 | 96.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| -2.453 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Gregory Bryant) | Binary |
| -2.455 | 98.2% | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
| -2.482 | 86.1% | Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025? | Binary |
| -2.573 | 93.4% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| -2.875 | 33.3% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| -2.877 | 99.2% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -3.222 | 99.5% | Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -3.240 | 99.9% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| -3.311 | 99.8% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| -3.361 | 65.4% | Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026? | Binary |
| -3.370 | 94.5% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| -3.380 | 99.2% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -3.569 | 26.0% | Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026? | Binary |
| -3.746 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Sanjay Jha) | Binary |
| -3.902 | 15.7% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| -4.164 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| -4.268 | 94.1% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| -4.472 | 94.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei) | Binary |
| -4.757 | 98.6% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| -5.339 | 69.1% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| -5.479 | 80.8% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| -5.665 | 96.4% | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| -5.782 | 98.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| -5.790 | 99.3% | How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -5.809 | 99.5% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November) | Continuous |
| -5.872 | 100.0% | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| -6.206 | 95.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -6.214 | 99.5% | What will the highest rank of metac-GPT4o or metac-o1 be in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| -6.487 | 98.7% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -6.526 | 28.9% | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-25) | Continuous |
| -6.528 | 94.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| -6.638 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| -6.987 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi) | Binary |
| -7.045 | 98.7% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -7.050 | 97.3% | What will be the result of the vote chess game, IM Levy Rozman Vs. The World? | Multiple Choice |
| -7.179 | 95.6% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| -7.254 | 99.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -7.674 | 98.2% | Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser) | Binary |
| -7.820 | 29.5% | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| -8.069 | 87.0% | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
| -8.256 | 99.8% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| -8.355 | 94.6% | Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships? | Binary |
| -8.368 | 91.5% | How many new energy vehicle sales will BYD report for December 2025? | Continuous |
| -8.451 | 99.0% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -8.607 | 96.7% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| -8.681 | 95.6% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
| -9.481 | 88.6% | Will the People's Party win an absolute majority in the next regional elections in Extremadura, Spain? | Binary |
| -9.683 | 28.8% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| -9.692 | 99.9% | Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after? | Multiple Choice |
| -9.939 | 95.5% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -10.226 | 99.1% | Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year? | Binary |
| -10.380 | 94.1% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
| -10.987 | 98.6% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5) | Continuous |
| -11.054 | 95.5% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -11.129 | 99.1% | Will Cracker Barrel's revenues decline in its Q1 FY2026 (August-October 2025) compared to the previous year? | Binary |
| -11.271 | 99.7% | How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q3 2025? | Continuous |
| -11.783 | 24.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
| -11.861 | 80.8% | What will the winning time be in the Women's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships? | Continuous |
| -12.396 | 88.3% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| -12.481 | 50.9% | Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off? | Multiple Choice |
| -12.543 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| -12.576 | 99.0% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -12.687 | 95.3% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21) | Continuous |
| -13.809 | 95.6% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
| -14.078 | 99.2% | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| -15.261 | 79.4% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| -15.343 | 79.7% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| -15.579 | 97.4% | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
| -16.070 | 98.0% | What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026? | Continuous |
| -16.173 | 98.4% | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| -16.527 | 93.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -17.113 | 98.3% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| -17.630 | 95.1% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19) | Continuous |
| -18.064 | 99.4% | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| -18.378 | 99.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| -18.543 | 96.5% | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| -19.693 | 99.9% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| -19.891 | 35.6% | Who will be the next CEO of Intel? (Lip-Bu Tan) | Binary |
| -20.493 | 98.6% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| -21.960 | 98.9% | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| -22.340 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Javokhir Sindarov) | Binary |
| -22.572 | 64.4% | Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land? | Binary |
| -25.591 | 98.5% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2) | Continuous |
| -26.548 | 88.1% | Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026? | Binary |
| -28.010 | 97.8% | Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| -28.525 | 88.3% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -28.751 | 94.4% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| -28.797 | 96.9% | How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff? | Multiple Choice |
| -29.894 | 98.3% | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
| -30.603 | 98.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| -31.168 | 97.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| -31.186 | 65.7% | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -31.457 | 86.0% | Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -31.704 | 94.2% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
| -36.178 | 97.3% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| -44.825 | 45.2% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -45.275 | 84.5% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| -49.847 | 99.3% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| -53.522 | 83.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -55.099 | 75.8% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| -69.513 | 97.8% | Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025? | Binary |
| -80.694 | 91.9% | Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election? | Binary |
| -93.273 | 100.0% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| -94.740 | 99.7% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| -372.334 | 93.5% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |