| 145.906 | What will be the highest daily close price (in $USD) of the CBOE S&P 500 (VIX) and Crude Oil (OVX) Volatility Index between April 15 and June 1, 2024? (VIX) | Continuous |
| 139.827 | What will be the highest daily close price (in $USD) of the CBOE S&P 500 (VIX) and Crude Oil (OVX) Volatility Index between April 15 and June 1, 2024? (OVX) | Continuous |
| 103.160 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Continuous |
| 101.978 | By how many billion USD will Elon Musk’s net worth differ from the highest other net worth on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires list as of January 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 98.745 | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 98.543 | Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan? | Binary |
| 98.518 | Will the US government end its agreement directly allowing Verisign to manage the authoritative domain name registry for the .com TLD, before August 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.437 | Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.434 | Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.210 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.205 | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.123 | Will the opposition candidate, Edmundo González, concede the 2024 Venezuelan election to Maduro before September 2024? | Binary |
| 98.086 | Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.971 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.964 | Will a second round of voting be held in the 2024 Finnish presidential elections? | Binary |
| 97.963 | Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 97.846 | Before June 6, 2024, will there be an armed forces conflict death between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.705 | Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal? | Binary |
| 97.677 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Restricted Use for Specific Groups) | Binary |
| 97.677 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Total Ban) | Binary |
| 97.459 | Will Ukrainian forces capture Rylsk, Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.427 | Will Edmundo González be deprived of liberty before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.335 | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 97.301 | Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast? | Binary |
| 97.228 | Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 96.966 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (7 or more) | Binary |
| 96.869 | Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? (No) → 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.805 | At the Paris Summer Olympics in 2024, will the men's 100m dash winning time break the Olympic record of 9.63s? | Binary |
| 96.766 | Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.497 | Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR? (2025) | Binary |
| 96.471 | Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States? (Milk recall due to H5N1) | Binary |
| 96.471 | Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States? (Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk) | Binary |
| 96.440 | Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 96.414 | Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza? | Binary |
| 96.214 | Will a journalist or an opposition politician be charged in connection with the assassination attempt on Slovak PM Robert Fico, before June 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 96.127 | Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 96.055 | Will Intel get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.692 | Will William Ruto cease to be President of Kenya before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.579 | Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.486 | Will there be a US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris held on September 10, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.410 | Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 95.219 | Who will be #1 on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List on June 28, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 95.037 | Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States? (US officials warn against drinking milk) | Binary |
| 94.985 | On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory? | Multiple Choice |
| 94.206 | Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024? | Binary |
| 94.113 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (May 9, 2024) | Binary |
| 94.047 | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | Binary |
| 93.155 | Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.930 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (July 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 92.811 | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Algeria? | Multiple Choice |
| 92.596 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Kursk Nuclear Plant 51°40'30.1"N 35°36'11.5"E) | Binary |
| 92.544 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (3. A culture of open criticism) | Binary |
| 92.544 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (4. No retaliation for public risk disclosure) | Binary |
| 92.490 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 92.335 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 92.335 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Washington) | Binary |
| 92.335 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 92.335 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Oklahoma) | Binary |
| 92.335 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 92.335 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (California) | Binary |
| 92.310 | Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024? | Binary |
| 92.221 | Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2024? | Binary |
| 92.159 | Before November 5, 2024, will the State of New York seize any of Donald Trump's real estate holdings to satisfy the judgement in the NY civil fraud case? | Binary |
| 92.086 | Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.779 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Restricted Use for Approved Applications) | Binary |
| 91.779 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Licensing for Use) | Binary |
| 91.711 | [Short fuse] Will there be a majority of "Yes" votes in the Moldovan European Union membership referendum? | Binary |
| 91.696 | Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 91.598 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (B. Soldatskoe (51°20'15.4"N 35°30'27.1"E)) | Binary |
| 91.545 | LLM cyberattack/virus/worm before 2025? (No) → NVIDIA stock below $250 before 31 Dec 2024? | Binary |
| 91.544 | Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024? | Binary |
| 91.192 | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Rwanda? | Multiple Choice |
| 91.122 | Will Donald Trump win the most delegates in the 2024 New Hampshire primary? | Binary |
| 90.837 | Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case? | Binary |
| 90.694 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025? | Binary |
| 90.685 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Civil Liability Laws) | Binary |
| 90.685 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Mandatory Disclosure Requirements) | Binary |
| 90.673 | DCCPA passes before 2025? (No) → Bitcoin up over 2024 | Binary |
| 90.594 | Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? | Multiple Choice |
| 90.372 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024? | Binary |
| 90.309 | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 90.232 | Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 90.138 | Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? | Binary |
| 90.066 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025? | Binary |
| 89.999 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Venezuela? | Multiple Choice |
| 89.976 | Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025? | Binary |
| 89.920 | Ukr captures Rylsk by October 1, 2024? (No) → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024 | Binary |
| 89.523 | Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 89.422 | Ukraine Controls Bakhmut at End of 2024? (No) → Russo-Ukraine cease-fire in 2024 | Binary |
| 89.397 | Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election? | Binary |
| 89.383 | How many cases of severe invasive streptococcal infections (TSLS) will be reported in Japan on July 2? | Continuous |
| 89.291 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 89.015 | Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024? (No) → US Iran War Before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.691 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.341 | Which school will be #1 in the QS World University Rankings 2025, scheduled to be released on June 4, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.295 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 88.280 | Will the majority of Russian soldiers in Syria withdraw before January 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 88.058 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
| 88.058 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Mel Stride) | Binary |
| 87.866 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.812 | Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year? (2025) | Binary |
| 87.571 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Mauritania? | Multiple Choice |
| 87.518 | Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024? (No) → Iran deadly attack on Israel before May 2024? | Binary |
| 87.427 | What coalition will the Prime Minister of France belong to on July 30, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 87.376 | Will the Venezuelan electoral commission publish full results of the July 28 presidential election before August 12, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.116 | Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024? (No) → US Iran War Before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.050 | Will at least 50 Kenyan military or police personnel arrive in Haiti before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.944 | Will Ariel Henry return to Haiti before March 13, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.599 | Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President? | Binary |
| 86.459 | Will the "Dune: Part Two" domestic opening box office be greater than that of "Dune (2021)"? | Binary |
| 86.005 | Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 63.0% on any single day in November or December 2024? | Binary |
| 85.691 | Will either of Donald Trump's campaign managers get fired, resign, or otherwise leave their positions before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.982 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 84.982 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 84.982 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 84.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 84.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 84.928 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 84.800 | Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March? | Binary |
| 84.719 | Who will win the Tour de France 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 84.557 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 84.557 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 84.557 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 84.287 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024? | Binary |
| 84.243 | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 84.048 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (No Restriction) | Binary |
| 83.962 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 83.962 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 83.883 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 83.883 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 83.628 | Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.568 | Will Pavel Durov leave France before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 83.197 | Will Dems have brokered convention in 2024? (No) → 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 82.898 | Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.850 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Glushkovo (51°20'43.9"N 34°38'54.9"E)) | Binary |
| 82.742 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
| 82.742 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (James Cleverly) | Binary |
| 82.717 | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | Binary |
| 82.645 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 82.340 | Will Individual Neutral Athletes Win ≥21 Gold Medals at the Paris 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 82.232 | Iran deadly attack on Israel before May 2024? (No) → Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024? | Binary |
| 82.144 | Will the 2024 World Chess Champion be decided in the first 10 games? | Binary |
| 81.646 | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 81.282 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 81.144 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 81.065 | [Short fuse] Will California's Proposition 33 (allowing rent control) pass in the 2024 general election? | Binary |
| 80.937 | Will gang leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar ('Fito') be in Ecuadorian custody before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 80.764 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Switzerland) | Binary |
| 80.696 | Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024? | Binary |
| 80.138 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 79.867 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Croatia) | Binary |
| 79.819 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Moldova? | Multiple Choice |
| 79.340 | Will any of these large tech companies announce layoffs before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.178 | Will anyone win an Electoral College majority in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 79.173 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 78.868 | On June 28th, 2024, will Gamestop's market capitalization be higher than Docusign's, according to CompaniesMarketCap? | Binary |
| 78.781 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 78.508 | Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024? | Binary |
| 77.817 | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.706 | Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | Binary |
| 77.620 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (6) | Binary |
| 77.270 | How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 76.956 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 76.843 | Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 76.818 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Czechia) | Binary |
| 76.818 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Iceland) | Binary |
| 76.818 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Malta) | Binary |
| 76.818 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Moldova) | Binary |
| 76.211 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 76.042 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 75.026 | Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025? | Binary |
| 74.954 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in South Sudan? | Multiple Choice |
| 74.937 | What will be CDC's highest assessment of the risk posed by mpox to the US general public before January 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 74.637 | Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025? | Binary |
| 74.066 | What will be the rate of immigration enforcement in the US in 2024, as a percentage of removals to encounters? | Continuous |
| 73.998 | Will the cherry blossoms reach full bloom in Tokyo before April 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 73.921 | Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.836 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 72.951 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on September 30, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 71.686 | Will Macky Sall step down as president of Senegal at or before the currently scheduled end of his term? | Binary |
| 71.348 | Taurus Missile for Ukraine in 2024? (No) → Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.235 | What will the US Supreme Court decide regarding Chevron deference in its 2023-2024 term? | Multiple Choice |
| 71.206 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (2. An anonymous process to raise risks) | Binary |
| 70.912 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Denmark) | Binary |
| 69.875 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 69.319 | Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%? | Binary |
| 68.805 | Will Paul Christiano be publicly confirmed to be joining the US AI Safety Institute before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.975 | Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.477 | Will China experience a second quarter of negative foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2024? | Binary |
| 67.400 | Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards? | Binary |
| 67.297 | Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.200 | Who will win the Speed Chess Championship 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.155 | Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | Binary |
| 67.110 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Sri Lanka? | Multiple Choice |
| 66.956 | Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 66.901 | Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election? | Binary |
| 66.757 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (2) | Binary |
| 66.720 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Ghana? | Multiple Choice |
| 66.348 | Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 66.123 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Namibia? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.997 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 65.461 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Mozambique? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.375 | Who will win the 2024 World Chess Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.256 | What will be the polling average gap in the UK national parliament voting intention between the Labour and Conservative parties according to The Economist on June 27, 2024? | Continuous |
| 65.014 | How many arms sales globally will the US State Department approve in the fourth quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| 64.890 | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between August 15 and September 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| 64.001 | How many times will the US Fed cut rates by 25 basis points this year? | Multiple Choice |
| 63.506 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Tetkino (51°16'45.1"N 34°16'57.7"E)) | Binary |
| 63.273 | Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders? | Binary |
| 62.696 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Georgia) (Yes) → Will the GOP win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 62.665 | What will Trump's lead over Biden be on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average? | Continuous |
| 62.635 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (5) | Binary |
| 62.314 | What will be the weekly change in U.S. natural gas underground storage in the lower 48 states (in billions of cubic feet) for the week ending April 4, 2024? | Continuous |
| 61.988 | How many times will “artificial intelligence” be mentioned in White House Press Briefings in 2024? | Continuous |
| 61.698 | What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024? | Continuous |
| 61.612 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on May 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 61.524 | [Short fuse] Who will win the 2024 Uruguayan Presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.212 | Who will win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona? | Multiple Choice |
| 60.900 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 60.011 | Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.906 | In the Q3 AI Benchmarking tournament, how will the Pro aggregate Baseline score compare to the best bot? | Continuous |
| 59.902 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before January 2025? | Binary |
| 59.782 | Before April 1, 2024, will Fani Willis cease to be an attorney for the prosecution in the State of Georgia v. Donald Trump, et al. case? | Binary |
| 59.232 | Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 59.141 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Netherlands) | Binary |
| 59.140 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| 58.671 | Will Kais Saied be re-elected President of Tunisia in 2024? | Binary |
| 58.616 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2024 Brandenburg state election? | Continuous |
| 58.237 | Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics? | Binary |
| 57.768 | What percentage of the vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary? | Continuous |
| 57.507 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (La France Insoumise) | Continuous |
| 57.455 | Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election? | Binary |
| 56.600 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before Election Day (Nov. 5) 2024? | Binary |
| 55.947 | Countries confirm Clade I mpox? (United States) (Yes) → HHS mpox public health emergency--Oct 1 2024? | Binary |
| 55.866 | Who will be elected President of Lithuania in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.759 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Finland) | Binary |
| 55.726 | What will be the best score on the SWE-Bench (unassisted) benchmark before 2025? | Continuous |
| 55.532 | Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.166 | Who will become President of Iran in the first round of voting? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.134 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Parti Socialiste) | Continuous |
| 55.032 | What will be the value of Bitcoin (in USD) on April 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 54.478 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (December 21, 2024) | Continuous |
| 54.457 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) (Yes) → Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 54.262 | At the 2024 Olympics, will at least 5 countries win their debut gold medal? | Binary |
| 53.701 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Korenevo (51°24'37.7"N 34°54'02.2"E)) | Binary |
| 53.613 | Will the same nation win more than one women's team sport at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 53.123 | What will be the lowest seed to reach the Championship of the 2024 Men's NCAA Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.764 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Non affiliated) | Continuous |
| 52.216 | On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.771 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Japan) | Binary |
| 51.507 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Mar. 9, 2024) | Continuous |
| 50.996 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Australia) | Binary |
| 50.996 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Azerbaijan) | Binary |
| 50.996 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (San Marino) | Binary |
| 50.154 | What will be the settle price for May 2024 Feeder Cattle futures contracts on April 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| 49.783 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (1. No agreements prohibiting safety criticism) | Binary |
| 49.621 | What will be the close price of the Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) on December 30, 2024? | Continuous |
| 48.974 | Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election? | Binary |
| 48.926 | What will be the total number (in thousands) of seasonally adjusted nonfarm job openings in the United States in February 2024? | Continuous |
| 48.472 | For how many seconds will Taylor Swift appear on screen during the Super Bowl? | Continuous |
| 48.405 | How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024? | Continuous |
| 48.247 | Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA? (2024) | Binary |
| 47.955 | Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland in 2024? | Binary |
| 47.541 | Between June 1 and June 15, 2024, what will be the strongest geomagnetic storm observed on Earth? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.343 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)? | Binary |
| 47.259 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 47.158 | What will be the official vote percentage for the Ensemble! coalition in the first round of the French legislative elections on June 30, 2024, as reported by July 3, 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.029 | How many personal bankruptcies will be filed in the United States in the third quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| 46.734 | How many Metaculus users that ranked in the top 16 in the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup will remain in the top 16 at the end of Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 46.171 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Les Républicains) | Continuous |
| 46.095 | What will be the weekly rate of RSV-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 people for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 24, 2024) | Continuous |
| 46.083 | What will be the value of China's CSI 300 stock index at market close on December 31st, 2024? | Continuous |
| 45.870 | Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 45.266 | What will US airline passenger volume be for the week of Christmas through New Years Eve 2024, according to the TSA? | Continuous |
| 45.182 | How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52? | Continuous |
| 45.097 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Renaissance) | Continuous |
| 45.023 | Will Nvidia have the largest market cap in the world at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 44.662 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Russia) | Binary |
| 44.291 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Israel) | Binary |
| 43.964 | How many days will the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in the 3rd quarter of 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.375 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Robert Jenrick) | Binary |
| 43.277 | [Short Fuse] Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 42.945 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Joe Biden) (No) → GOP Control of US Senate in 2025 | Binary |
| 42.108 | Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024? | Binary |
| 41.960 | On June 21, 2024, what will be the closing value of BSE SENSEX? | Continuous |
| 41.841 | Who will be the new leader of PASOK after the elections of October 2024? | Who will be the new PASOK leader after the October 2024 elections? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.316 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.961 | Which team will win the 2024 Indian Premier League final? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.791 | Will Sir Lindsay Hoyle remain speaker of the House of Commons until March 1st 2024? | Binary |
| 40.719 | Will Nikki Haley end her 2024 primary campaign before March 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.696 | Who will win Jeopardy! Masters 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.514 | Will Starliner Calypso undock from ISS before September 16? | Binary |
| 40.382 | Will a team that has never won the Super Bowl win in 2024? | Binary |
| 39.724 | Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024? | Binary |
| 38.898 | Who will win the 2024-25 presidential election in Croatia? | Multiple Choice |
| 38.650 | Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 38.498 | What will be Donald Trump's net favorability rating on December 27, 2024? | Continuous |
| 38.179 | What will be the best score on the WebArena benchmark before 2025? | Continuous |
| 37.991 | Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 37.839 | How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.833 | Will Iran's Guardian Council include Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's name on its list of approved candidates for president of Iran? | Binary |
| 37.720 | Will a non-Disney-nominated board member be elected to Disney's board at the April 3, 2024, shareholder meeting? | Binary |
| 37.063 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (China) | Binary |
| 37.063 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Indonesia) | Binary |
| 37.063 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Bangladesh) | Binary |
| 36.925 | Will Trump, Biden or a moderator say "deepfake" in the CNN debate in Atlanta on June 27, 2024? | Binary |
| 36.896 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Kamala Harris) | Continuous |
| 36.789 | Which NHL team will win the 2023-24 Stanley Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.754 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Greece) | Binary |
| 35.569 | [Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 35.481 | What will be the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February 2024? | Continuous |
| 35.446 | How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.731 | After the end of the DNC, what will be Kamala Harris's probability of winning the US 2024 presidential election, as measured and displayed by Metaculus? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.618 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (December 7, 2024) | Continuous |
| 34.574 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Kamala Harris) (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 34.464 | Will India enact a law expanding the Minimum Support Price for crops before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 33.763 | How many major Atlantic hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in September 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.563 | What will be the price of Boeing stock (in USD) at market close on March 29, 2024? | Continuous |
| 33.394 | Will the highest Elo LLM on Chatbot Arena be non-proprietary during 2024? | Binary |
| 33.321 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (November 23, 2024) | Continuous |
| 33.006 | Will Donald Trump testify at the hush money trial? | Binary |
| 32.485 | When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| 32.445 | Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024? | Binary |
| 32.204 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on Tuesday November 5, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 32.181 | What will be the snow water equivalent of California's snowpack on March 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 31.961 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden) (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 31.471 | Fed Funds Rate Below 4%? (No) → S&P Goes Up In 2024? | Binary |
| 31.264 | When will Starship next reach an altitude of at least 200 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 30.664 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 30.287 | New PHEIC in 2024? (Yes) → International Pandemic Treaty before 2025 | Binary |
| 30.199 | Who will win the 2024 Grand Chess Tour? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.894 | Biden announces drop-out before July 15 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 29.090 | Which party will the new Prime Minister of Iceland belong to after the 2024 parliamentary elections? | Multiple Choice |
| 27.270 | Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 27.186 | Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 26.995 | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| 26.794 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| 26.731 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (November 15) | Continuous |
| 26.251 | Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote? | Binary |
| 26.063 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Palau? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.966 | Will South Africa elect a president before July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.625 | Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.540 | 2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro) (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 25.291 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Estonia) | Binary |
| 25.291 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Lithuania) | Binary |
| 25.291 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Luxembourg) | Binary |
| 25.291 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Norway) | Binary |
| 25.221 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 24, 2024) | Continuous |
| 24.748 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (December 30) | Continuous |
| 21.794 | [Short Fuse] Will the vote of no confidence in Michel Barnier's government pass in the French National Assembly? | Binary |
| 21.763 | Will the Georgian Dream party win a majority of seats in Georgia's 2024 parliamentary elections? | Binary |
| 21.699 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (1) | Binary |
| 20.848 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in the Dominican Republic? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.608 | Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | Binary |
| 19.973 | Will Nebraska legally allocate its electoral votes on a winner-take-all basis in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 19.875 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Georgia) | Continuous |
| 19.447 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Apr. 20, 2024) | Continuous |
| 18.376 | What will the closing price of CAC 40 be on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 18.290 | Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act," be enacted before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 17.991 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Parti Communiste) | Continuous |
| 17.168 | Will the Columbia University Senate vote to censure university president Nemat Shafik on or before April 26, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.973 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 16.799 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | Binary |
| 16.310 | How many deliveries will Tesla report in the second quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| 15.784 | If a government is formed in South Africa before July 1, 2024, which parties will form the government? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.383 | Will the governor of Gagauzia, Evghenia Guțul, travel to the Russian Federation before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.651 | How much will it rain in Brasília, Brazil in December 2024? | Continuous |
| 13.891 | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before August 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.560 | What will be the outcome of Boeing Starliner's launch planned for May 21, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.974 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (North Carolina) | Continuous |
| 12.401 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Michigan) | Continuous |
| 11.880 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024? | Binary |
| 11.864 | Will the Metaculus community correctly predict the winner of the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 11.445 | Will Allan Lichtman’s September 2024 prediction of the electoral college winner for the 2024 US Presidential Election be correct? | Binary |
| 11.426 | Will the White Sox lose 120 or more games in the 2024 MLB season? | Binary |
| 10.464 | When will the number of power outages in Texas fall below 7,500 customers? | Continuous |
| 9.815 | Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.498 | When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live? | Continuous |
| 9.408 | What will the month over month percentage increase in core CPI inflation be in the US in August 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.371 | Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.312 | Will salvage operations commence on the cargo vessel “M/V Rubymar” prior to April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.955 | Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 8.314 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Alaska) | Continuous |
| 8.104 | Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024? (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 7.836 | Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season? | Binary |
| 7.394 | What will be the close price of Bitcoin (in $USD) on these dates? (May 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 6.705 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Albania) | Binary |
| 6.705 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Belgium) | Binary |
| 5.980 | Will former First Lady of Pakistan Bushra Bibi be arrested before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.550 | (closed) Which country will win UEFA Euro 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.498 | How many times will Donald Trump debate the Democratic nominee for president in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.300 | Will the European Union announce new tariffs or duties on imports of Chinese electric vehicles before July 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.174 | Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.049 | Will any more United Kingdom MPs be suspended from their party, resign, or change allegiance before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.782 | Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.289 | Will at least 5 countries win their first Olympic medal at the 2024 Games? | Binary |
| 2.925 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.915 | If Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination, will Nikki Haley endorse him before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.599 | What will be the close price of Bitcoin (in $USD) on these dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 2.316 | What will the IMDB rating of the special episode of Bluey titled "The Sign" be three days after it airs? | Continuous |
| 2.018 | Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.997 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Mar. 23, 2024) | Continuous |
| 1.995 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Other parties) | Continuous |
| 1.696 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 1.696 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 1.592 | [Short Fuse] Will the proxy advisor Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) advise Tesla shareholders to vote against Elon Musk's $57 billion package OR the re-election of Kimbal Musk? | Binary |
| 1.586 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Ecologistes) | Continuous |
| 1.423 | Will France have a new Prime Minister before January 1, 2025? (Yes) → What will the closing price of CAC 40 be on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 1.380 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (3) | Binary |
| 1.059 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Maryland) | Binary |
| 0.886 | RFK Jr. to drop out by Oct 22? (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 0.489 | Which country will win the UEFA Euro 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.390 | Trump guilty in Manhattan by Election Day (Yes) → Trump Felony Conviction Before Election? | Binary |
| 0.045 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (India) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Germany) | Binary |
| - | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (United States) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Zambia) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| - | Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Brazil) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (France) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Mexico) | Binary |
| - | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Pakistan) | Binary |
| - | Netanyahu PM Through 2024? (Yes) → Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| -0.654 | Will both Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin congratulate the winner of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election before December 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -0.715 | When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| -1.266 | Who Will Win the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.460 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -1.542 | Four days after the first Donald Trump-Kamala Harris debate, how much will Harris's probability of winning change, according to the Metaculus Community? | Continuous |
| -1.650 | Trump Felony Conviction Before Election? (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| -2.284 | Will President Biden issue an executive order on immigration before the State of the Union on March 7, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.764 | Will the XEC COVID-19 variant account for at least 50% of the variants monitored in the US before January 5, 2025? | Binary |
| -2.854 | Will the Pandemic Agreement be approved at the May 2024 World Health Assembly? | Binary |
| -5.429 | How many directly elected seats will independents win in the National Assembly of Pakistan following the 2024 election? | Continuous |
| -5.598 | Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025? | Binary |
| -5.760 | Before April 1 2024, will the Supreme Court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump on the question of presidential immunity? | Binary |
| -7.135 | Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024? | Binary |
| -7.328 | Will New Delhi experience a "Hazardous" air quality index for at least one third of the last two weeks of December 2024? | Binary |
| -7.897 | Will the Powerball jackpot be won before April 15, 2024? | Binary |
| -9.181 | Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in January 2024? | Binary |
| -9.194 | Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election? | Binary |
| -9.756 | What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years? (End of 2024) | Continuous |
| -9.916 | Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -10.814 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Serbia) | Binary |
| -11.026 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for the month of April 2024? | Continuous |
| -11.463 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Austria) | Binary |
| -11.463 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Cyprus) | Binary |
| -11.463 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Armenia) | Binary |
| -11.463 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Ireland) | Binary |
| -12.697 | Will the domestic opening weekend box office revenue of Mufasa: The Lion King exceed that of Sonic the Hedgehog 3? | Binary |
| -13.234 | What will Reddit Inc.'s market capitalization be after its first day of trading, in USD? | Continuous |
| -14.222 | What will be the closest color to the 2025 Pantone Color of the Year? | Multiple Choice |
| -15.144 | Which country will win the 2024 Warhammer 40,000 World Team Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| -15.215 | How many deliveries will Rivian report in the second quarter of 2024? | Continuous |
| -15.314 | By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| -15.985 | What will be the best score on the GPQA benchmark before 2025? | Continuous |
| -16.882 | Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -19.618 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Horizons) | Continuous |
| -19.684 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Florida) | Continuous |
| -21.259 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Texas) | Continuous |
| -22.532 | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between May 15 and June 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| -23.173 | Will the International Court of Justice order provisional measures against Israel before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -27.353 | Which science fiction novel will win a Hugo Award in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -27.817 | Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -27.967 | Will Kimberly Cheatle remain Director of the United States Secret Service through September 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -30.299 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Démocrates (Modem and independents)) | Continuous |
| -30.729 | What will China's youth unemployment rate be for August 2024? | Continuous |
| -30.946 | Will the 2024 Indonesian presidential election go to a runoff? | Binary |
| -32.867 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Libertés, Indépendants, OutreMer, Territoires) | Continuous |
| -33.674 | Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024? | Binary |
| -34.421 | Will Caitlin Clark be named the Most Outstanding Player in the 2024 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament? | Binary |
| -34.424 | How many executive orders will Joe Biden sign after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -34.748 | Will the International Criminal Court issue any warrants in November or December 2024? | Binary |
| -35.388 | How many probable dengue cases will be reported in Brazil in 2024 as of April 5, 2024? | Continuous |
| -39.160 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024? | Continuous |
| -41.106 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Somaliland? | Multiple Choice |
| -42.338 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (4) | Binary |
| -45.891 | Result of Ireland's constitutional referendums on March 8, 2024? (40th Amendment ("Care")) | Binary |
| -45.891 | Result of Ireland's constitutional referendums on March 8, 2024? (39th Amendment ("The Family")) | Binary |
| -46.188 | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | Binary |
| -49.093 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Poland) | Binary |
| -50.723 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Feb. 24, 2024) | Continuous |
| -51.571 | Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -52.916 | Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -56.591 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military before February 7, 2024? | Binary |
| -63.472 | On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Binary |
| -65.434 | Will Kamala Harris say "artificial intelligence" or "AI" in her 2024 Democratic National Convention keynote speech? | Binary |
| -65.682 | Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands in any of their debates, if any happen? | Binary |
| -65.921 | Which manufacturer's vehicle will return astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore to Earth from the ISS? | Multiple Choice |
| -66.092 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon in 2024? | Binary |
| -68.079 | Will Nikki Haley finish 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses? | Binary |
| -70.887 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → Will Joe Biden Grant Clemency to Hunter? | Binary |
| -78.264 | Will Apple announce an iPhone with 40W fast charging by the end of its September 2024 event? | Binary |
| -87.162 | Will the domestic box office opening of "Deadpool & Wolverine" be higher than that of "Deadpool" and "The Wolverine" combined? | Binary |
| -87.178 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -90.785 | Who will win the 2024 Men's Ballon d'Or award? | Multiple Choice |
| -93.539 | How disproportional will the 2024 Indian election be? | Continuous |
| -97.934 | 2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote? (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -100.083 | Will at least two of the three listed moon landing missions successfully land on the moon before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -104.538 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Mar. 9, 2024) | Continuous |
| -110.326 | Will Ariel Henry cease to be Acting Prime Minister or Prime Minister of Haiti before April 1, 2024, for any reason? | Binary |
| -113.584 | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -113.787 | How many seats will each party win in the 2024 French legislative election? (Rassemblement National) | Continuous |
| -114.120 | Will Yahya Sinwar cease to be the acting Chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau in 2024? | Binary |
| -115.353 | Will Astro Bot win the Game of the Year 2024 award? | Binary |
| -129.383 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Iceland? | Multiple Choice |
| -131.899 | Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | Binary |
| -153.358 | Will Revolut obtain a UK banking license before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| -159.485 | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |
| -164.148 | Starship Reaches Orbit in 2024? (No) → Starship Booster Tower Catch Attempt in 2024? | Binary |
| -171.378 | Will there be a new confrontation between Chinese and Philippine military vessels before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -187.269 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Slovenia) | Binary |
| -187.269 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Portugal) | Binary |
| -189.448 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024? | Binary |
| -262.985 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Latvia) | Binary |
| -283.335 | Will at least one of Andrea Bocelli's concerts at Madison Square Garden on December 18 or 19, 2024 sell out? | Binary |
| -331.982 | 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) (Yes) → BTC Worth Over 100k USD by 2025? | Binary |